ST Week 3: Pitching Conclusions

April 1, 2007

This is the final installment of Nick Christie's coverage of how the top pitching prospect faired this spring.


Daisuke Matsuzaka – Everyone’s favorite Japanese sensation pitched pretty well in his first spring training. While his control deserted him on more than one occasion, his deception and high-quality offerings generated lots of strikeouts and very little solid contact. The 26-year-old touched 96 MPH and showed an array of off-speed pitches, his changeup being the most dominant in his arsenal.
Spring Line: 21.2 innings, 11 hits, 11 walks, 26 K’s, 2.91 ERA, 1.02 WHIP


Kei Igawa – Overlooked against the Matsuzaka backdrop, the Yankees’ import often preferred to walk a guy rather than leave anything in the strike zone. However, Igawa’s six starts saw progressively sharper performance and increased velocity. While not as electric as his Boston counterpart, Igawa did exhibit good breaking pitches and a more than respectable fastball in the low 90’s with movement.
Spring Line: 23.0 innings, 19 hits, 12 walks, 22 K’s, 3.13 ERA, 1.35 WHIP


Mike Pelfrey – Pelfrey began the spring throwing a very impressive sinker and recording 80-90 percent of his outs via groundball. However, his 95 MPH fastball with late downward movement did not dominate anyone his last two starts. Pelfrey’s changeup and slider remain works in progress, as evidenced by his very low strikeout total. The 6-foot-7 right-hander will get at least two minor league starts to hone his stuff before emerging as the Mets’ fifth starter in mid-April.
Spring Line: 23.0 innings, 33 hits, 3 walks, 5 K’s, 5.48 ERA, 1.57 WHIP


Matt Garza – Garza produced a fine spring line but ultimately relied too much on his fastball for the Twins’ liking. The 6-foot-4 right-hander showed a very live arm, regularly touching 95 MPH, but his secondary pitches were not outstanding. The Twins made the unpopular move to start him in Triple-A Rochester, and Garza should stretch out for at least 2-3 starts before the Twins re-examine him. Given the swag currently in the rotation -- i.e. Carlos Silva and Sidney Ponson -- Garza should be up by May.
Spring Line: 12.0 innings, 9 hits, 5 walks, 7 K, 1.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP


Adam Miller – An unmitigated star of spring training, Miller took reassignment well two weeks ago despite a near-flawless spring performance. Like Pelfrey, Miller specialized in pounding the zone with sinking fastballs, but unlike the Mets’ top prospect Miller exhibited his trademark slider to good effect. Exactly how much his stock did or should rise is up for debate, but the 22-year-old looks certain to get an opportunity this year, probably by the All-Star break.
Spring Line: 14.0 innings, 8 hits, 3 walks, 8 K’s, 0.00 ERA, 0.79 WHIP


John Danks – Danks out-performed Gavin Floyd to catch Manager Ozzie Guillen’s eye and be named 5th starter for the White Sox. However, the newly acquired lefthanded prospect did not look especially remarkable. His fastball hovered around 90 MPH and his command was often mediocre. It will be interesting to see how he fares against the American League this April.
Spring Line: 21.1 innings, 25 hits, 10 walk, 16 K’s, 5.91 ERA, 1.64 WHIP


Jason Hirsh – A somewhat controversial prospect – some analysts adore his dominant Triple-A ERA – Hirsh got pounded this spring just as he got pounded in his late-summer call-up in 2006. Hirsh has yet to show a true plus-pitch, as demonstrated by his lack of strikeouts. How he will fare in Colorado is still unknown, but the indicators are not looking very good as of now.
Spring Line: 17.2 innings, 17 hits, 8 walks, 5 K’s, 7.13 ERA, 1.42 WHIP


Nick Adenhart – Adenhart unexpectedly remained in Angels’ camp up to the very last weekend and looked very mature this spring. The 20 year-old right-hander exhibited excellent command all spring, but especially in his final two starts. Should he continue to locate three pitches with similar effectiveness he could receive a call-up this year despite not having pitched above the High-A level.
Spring Line: 14.2 innings, 7 hits, 7 walks, 4 K’s, 1.84 ERA, 0.95 WHIP


Brandon Morrow – The 5th overall selection in the 2006 draft walked into spring training and put on a pretty decent show. Coming on only in one or two-inning relief appearances Morrow, 22, lit up radar guns with a high-90’s fastball and exhibited strong command of a nasty split-fingered fastball. The elbow scare of J.J. Putz has made Morrow’s stunning spring debut even more conspicuous, as the Mariners seem convinced that his rifle arm should be immediately harnessed in the Mariners’ bullpen. Whether Morrow will get a chance to start again remains to be seen. Should a closer really be taken 5th overall?
Spring Line: 8.1 innings, 4 hits, 3 walks, 8 K’s, 1.08 ERA, .84 WHIP


Tim Lincecum – The spring sensation from the 2006 draft was supposed to be Lincecum, not Morrow. However, the 5-foot-10 right-hander did not fare well, as despite showing off his rocket arm he endured rebukes for having too straight a fastball. Lincecum will undoubtedly see San Francisco later this year, but for now the Giants would like him to work on his command – his bb/9 rate in college never dipped below 4.50.
Spring Line: 7.0 innings, 8 hits, 1 walks, 7 K’s, 6.43 ERA, 1.29 WHIP


Andrew Miller – Kenny Rodgers’ surgery to remove a blood clot provoked immediate calls for Miller to receive a quick call-up to join the Detroit staff. The Tigers quickly dismissed those cries, however. Miller looked impressive early on in spring, but he has a lot of work to do on improving his control and developing a changeup to go with his brutal slider.
Spring Line: 6.0 innings, 7 hits, 4 walks, 7 K’s, 4.50 ERA, 1.83 WHIP


Nick Christie can be reached at nickchristie@gmail.com.