Top 30 Pitching Prospects (In-Season)

August 14, 2007
2007 In-Season Top 30 Pitching Prospects
No.   Player   Pos   Notes   Age   Org   Level
1   Phil Hughes   RHP   After solid start last Fri., has 22 K, 7 BB, 2 HR, and .228 BAA in 21.1 MLB IP   21   NYY   MLB
2   Clay Buchholz   RHP   Has 9 K in each of his last 3 AAA starts; could be big-league bound this week   23   BOS   AAA
3   Joba Chamberlain   RHP   Dominating big leaguers; has 1 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 8 K through 3 MLB relief (5.0 IP)   21   NYY   MLB
4   Clayton Kershaw   LHP   AA debut was solid but unspectacular: 4.1 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 2 HR, 4 BB, and 4 K   19   LAD   AA
5   Homer Bailey   RHP   Close to a return after enduring his second strained groin of the year on 7/17   21   CIN   MLB
6   Johnny Cueto   RHP   22.0 IP, 22 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 21 K in AAA; Flyballs could be trouble in bigs, though   21   CIN   AAA
7   Jacob McGee   LHP   Imploded in his AA debut: 2.0 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 6 BB, 4 K; 149 K vs. 45 BB to date   21   TB   AA
8   Rick Porcello   RHP   Scheduled to sign; could leapfrog a few guys with a solid rookie-ball showing   18   DET   HS
9   Will Inman   RHP   Has allowed 9 hits in 18.1 IP since being traded to SD; 155 K vs. 49 BB to date   20   SD   AA
10   Wade Davis   RHP   Running into a speed bump in AA: 23.5% K, 2.85 K/BB, .249 BAA, 1.27 WHIP   21   TB   AA
11   Brett Anderson   LHP   Currently sidelined by arm fatigue/concussion; very advanced for his age   19   ARI   A+
12   Ian Kennedy   RHP   Struggled w/ command last start; now 21 K, 9 BB, and .235 BAA in 23.0 AAA IP 22   NYY   AAA
13   Gio Gonzalez   LHP   Lit up Sun. after 4 consecutive great starts: 163 K, 51 BB, .222 BAA in 131.0 IP   21   CHW   AA
14   Eric Hurley   RHP   Solid bet to become a No. 3 starter: 45 K, 18 BB, .241 BAA through 51.0 AAA IP 21   TEX   AAA
15   Michael Bowden   RHP   Starting to figure out AA: 30 K vs. 9 BB (3.33) in last 33.1 IP; 24.8% K during   20   BOS   AA
16   Adam Miller   RHP   Hasn't pitched in nearly a month due to elbow soreness; same injury as last yr.   22   CLE   AAA
17   Justin Masterson   RHP   Continues to solidify his place on this list: 48 K, 11 BB, .173 BAA in 44.0 AA IP   22   BOS   AA
18   Tommy Hanson   RHP   Among last DNFs; 6'6'', 210 lbs; Has 133 K, 45 BB, .213 BAA in 112.1 A/A+ IP   20   ATL   A+
19   Ross Detwiler   LHP   Coming out of college, I don't think he was that different than Andrew Miller   21   WAS   A+
20   Cole Rohrbough   LHP   Another Braves' DNF; 67 K, 10 BB, .160 BAA, 42.1 IP; just needs to keep it up   20   ATL   A
21   Deolis Guerra   RHP   May be a sky's-the-limit type; injuries can be pretty limiting, too; just 72.1 IP in '07 18   NYM   A+
22   Kevin Slowey   RHP   Dominant AAA pitcher, struggled in bigs; I think he'll settle into a role as a No. 4   23   MIN   MLB
23   Kasey Kiker   LHP   Showing why the '07 Draft HS arms are so special; the 12th overall pick in '06   19   TEX   A
24   Scott Elbert   LHP   Got hurt entering make-or-break year; still could prove to be a successful SP   22   LAD   AA
25   Jaime Garcia   LHP   His elbow injury could cause him to miss a ton of time; good groundball pitcher   21   STL   AA
26   Nick Adenhart   RHP   Despite age/level, his 16.9% K, 1.81 K/BB, and .268 BAA hardly stand out   20   LAA   AA
27   Michael Main   RHP   2007's 24th overall pick has been impressive; 16 K, 6 BB, .196 BAA in 12.2 R IP   18   TEX   R
28   James Simmons   RHP   2007's 26th overall pick; holding his own in AA; 19 K, 4 BB, .301 BAA in 20.2 IP   20   OAK   AA
29   Max Scherzer   RHP   Though he has K'd 25.9% in AA, his 1.84 K/BB rate could have him in pen soon   23   ARI   AA
30   Chris Volstad   RHP   Good GB pitcher, so 16.1% K & 2.47 K/BB = passable; .282 BAA = concerning   20   FLA   AA
Honorable Mentions: Jeff Niemann (TB), Carlos Carrasco (PHI), Troy Patton (HOU), Garrett Olson (BAL), and Luke Hochevar (KC).
* Our rankings combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favor recent production            
** Only signed professional players with less than 130 pro at-bats or less than 50 pro innings are considered for our rankings
*** Ages are as of August 15th, 2007            
**** Level is the highest level the player has reached            
                         
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Adam Foster
Project Prospect Founder
adamf@projectprospect.com