| At last, rankings that combine big leaguers, minor leaguers, and
even college players |
| No. |
|
Player |
|
Pos |
|
Notes |
|
Age |
|
Org |
|
Level |
|
Pre. |
| 1 |
|
Miguel
Cabrera |
|
3B |
|
Preseason
No. 1 overall has surpased '06 HR total (26 vs. 30) in 94 fewer AB's |
|
24 |
|
FLA |
|
MLB |
|
1 ↔ |
| 2 |
|
Prince Fielder |
|
1B |
|
Tied for MLB XBH lead (73: 32 2B, 2 3B, 39 HR);
.281/.377/.599 through 481 at-bats |
23 |
|
MIL |
|
MLB |
|
5 ↑ |
| 3 |
|
Hanley
Ramirez |
|
SS |
|
Elite
dual threat: runaway leader among SS's with .557 SLG; 23 HR, 42 SB as
well |
23 |
|
FLA |
|
MLB |
|
15 ↑ |
| 4 |
|
Jose Reyes |
|
SS |
|
SLG down after rising in each of first three seasons; 0.65
BB/K in '06, 1.05 in '07 |
|
24 |
|
NYM |
|
MLB |
|
12 ↑ |
| 5 |
|
Cole
Hamels |
|
LHP |
|
6-foot-3,
190-pounder's throwing elbow feels good; eyes Sept. 3rd return to hill |
|
23 |
|
PHI |
|
MLB |
|
16 ↑ |
| 6 |
|
David Wright |
|
3B |
|
Could go 30/30 this season; improving across the board;
.309/.386/.529 (career) |
|
24 |
|
NYM |
|
MLB |
|
4 ↓ |
| 7 |
|
Ryan Braun |
|
3B |
|
.331/.375/.639 pace (341 AB) would yield 48 HR 130 RBI
over 162 game season |
|
23 |
|
MIL |
|
MLB |
|
31 ↑ |
| 8 |
|
B.J. Upton |
|
CF |
|
We tried to remind you he was ready for a breakout in
January; hope you listened |
|
23 |
|
TB |
|
MLB |
|
52 ↑ |
| 9 |
|
Felix
Hernandez |
|
RHP |
|
Hasn't dominated (.286 BAA, 1.40 WHIP), but
excellent 3.29 K/BB, endless potential |
21 |
|
SEA |
|
MLB |
|
3 ↓ |
| 10 |
|
Tim Lincecum |
|
RHP |
|
Little-known fact: selected in 42nd round by Indians in
2005 as draft-eligible soph |
|
23 |
|
SF |
|
MLB |
|
38 ↑ |
| 11 |
|
Yovani
Gallardo |
|
RHP |
|
Don't
think twice about inconsistent start - electric stuff; 29.9% MLB K rate |
|
21 |
|
MIL |
|
MLB |
|
39 ↑ |
| 12 |
|
Phil Hughes |
|
RHP |
|
Remember the preseason's no. 1 SP prospect? 1.22 MLB WHIP
means you should |
|
21 |
|
NYY |
|
MLB |
|
21 ↑ |
| 13 |
|
Joe
Mauer |
|
C |
|
May not hit for power (.419 SLG), but will do everything
else: .294 AVG, .388 OBP |
|
24 |
|
MIN |
|
MLB |
|
2 ↓ |
| 14 |
|
Billy Butler |
|
DH |
|
Best DH prospect in history? Hasn't disappointed:
.294/.351/.454 in 238 MLB AB |
|
21 |
|
KC |
|
MLB |
|
27 ↑ |
| 15 |
|
Joba
Chamberlain |
|
RHP |
|
Joba Mania is in full swing: 0.81 WHIP, 17 K vs. 5 BB
through 1st 11.1 MLB innings |
|
21 |
|
NYY |
|
MLB |
|
147 ↑ |
| 16 |
|
Justin Upton |
|
OF |
|
Reached big leagues in fewer AB than B.J.; hit
.289/.375/.478 in 216 MiLB games |
|
20 |
|
ARI |
|
MLB |
|
59 ↑ |
| 17 |
|
Jay Bruce |
|
OF |
|
Slugging fiend (47.9% XBH); .317/.373/.583 over 3 levels
this season's campaign |
|
20 |
|
CIN |
|
AAA |
|
47 ↑ |
| 18 |
|
Delmon Young |
|
RF |
|
Was a .317/.363/.517 minor leaguer, so .293/.324/.412 '07
MLB line is dissapointing |
|
21 |
|
TB |
|
MLB |
|
6 ↓ |
| 19 |
|
Scott
Kazmir |
|
LHP |
|
Strikeout artist has been just that: 25.5% K rate; needs
to cut 2.76 BB/GS clip down |
|
23 |
|
TB |
|
MLB |
|
14 ↓ |
| 20 |
|
Justin Verlander |
|
RHP |
|
2006 AL ROY continues to progress: 1.33 WHIP, 2.07 K/BB in
'06, 1.24, 2.61 in '07 |
|
24 |
|
DET |
|
MLB |
|
17 ↓ |
| 21 |
|
Matt
Cain |
|
RHP |
|
Plenty of K's (26.5%), plenty of walks (3.84 BB/9); latter
falls and he becomes elite |
|
22 |
|
SF |
|
MLB |
|
11 ↓ |
| 22 |
|
Clay Buchholz |
|
RHP |
|
Potential no. 1-2 starter has excellent secondary stuff;
needs to prove his stamina |
|
23 |
|
BOS |
|
MLB |
|
92 ↑ |
| 23 |
|
Russ Martin |
|
C |
|
Impressive .297/.381/.481 is all but overshadowed by 21 SB
from behind the dish |
|
24 |
|
LAD |
|
MLB |
|
46 ↑ |
| 24 |
|
Jeremy Bonderman |
|
RHP |
|
On pace to allow career high in HR; not going to finish
anywhere near 200 K |
|
24 |
|
DET |
|
MLB |
|
8 ↓ |
| 25 |
|
Brian
McCann |
|
C |
|
What a difference a year makes: .333/.388/.572 in '06 vs.
.273/.322/.475 in '07 |
|
23 |
|
ATL |
|
MLB |
|
13 ↓ |
| 26 |
|
Ryan Zimmerman |
|
3B |
|
BABIP is down a lot from '06 (.329 vs. .292); SLG is
identical to last year (.471) |
|
22 |
|
WAS |
|
MLB |
|
9 ↓ |
| 27 |
|
Alex
Gordon |
|
3B |
|
Slowly turning it on: .273/.326/.511 in Aug., .492 SLG
since break (just .358 prior) |
|
23 |
|
KC |
|
MLB |
|
10 ↓ |
| 28 |
|
Francisco Liriano |
|
LHP |
|
Looks like he'll start pitching again around the
beging of Nov. (recovering from TJ) |
|
23 |
|
MIN |
|
MLB |
|
28 ↔ |
| 29 |
|
David Price |
|
LHP |
|
No. 1 overall draft pick in '07; K'd 38.2% of the hitters
he faced this season in SEC |
|
22 |
|
TB |
|
NCAA |
|
76 ↑ |
| 30 |
|
Troy Tulowitzki |
|
SS |
|
Tappin' the Rockies: .292/.362/.460 '07 MLB line after
.286/.365/.470 MiLB career |
|
22 |
|
COL |
|
MLB |
|
62 ↑ |
| 31 |
|
Colby Rasmus |
|
CF |
|
So long, sinus infection. Hello, Mr. August:
.396/.487/.844; 52.3% XBH in 2007 |
|
21 |
|
STL |
|
AA |
|
66 ↑ |
| 32 |
|
Nick Markakis |
|
RF |
|
SB = fantasy improvement, but hasn't progressed
as much as we expected overall |
23 |
|
BAL |
|
MLB |
|
19 ↓ |
| 33 |
|
Evan
Longoria |
|
3B |
|
Power dropping in AAA (.478 SLG); improved 18:21 BB:K
making up for it (90 AB) |
|
21 |
|
TB |
|
AAA |
|
26 ↓ |
| 34 |
|
Robinson Cano |
|
2B |
|
LD% is down from '06 while K% is up; still solidifying
spot among top 2B in game |
|
24 |
|
NYY |
|
MLB |
|
32 ↓ |
| 35 |
|
Jeff
Francoeur |
|
RF |
|
33:107 BB:K is a steady improvement (23:132 in '06);
constant SLG: .449 vs. .447 |
|
23 |
|
ATL |
|
MLB |
|
42 ↑ |
| 36 |
|
Matt Kemp |
|
RF |
|
His MLB (.328/.364/.520) & MiLB (.329/.374/.540)
numbers = very similar this year |
|
22 |
|
LAD |
|
MLB |
|
40 ↑ |
| 37 |
|
Chad
Billingsley |
|
RHP |
|
Huge strikeout growth in 2nd MLB season: 21.9% K rate in
'06 vs. 31.4% in '07 |
|
23 |
|
LAD |
|
MLB |
|
56 ↑ |
| 38 |
|
Chris Young |
|
CF |
|
0.29 BB/K is pretty scary, but he's a fantasy stud;
shouldn't sniff NL ROY, though |
|
23 |
|
ARI |
|
MLB |
|
33 ↓ |
| 39 |
|
Hunter
Pence |
|
CF |
|
Would likely take home NL ROY honors with his
.323/.354/.540 line if not for Braun |
|
24 |
|
HOU |
|
MLB |
|
82 ↑ |
| 40 |
|
Cameron Maybin |
|
OF |
|
Reached bigs in less than 2 minor league seasons;
.309/.396/.488 in 703 MiLB AB |
|
20 |
|
DET |
|
MLB |
|
51 ↑ |
| 41 |
|
Fausto
Carmona |
|
RHP |
|
2006 closer failure is now a successful SP; GB
freak: 66.0%; 1.22 WHIP, .225 BAA |
23 |
|
CLE |
|
MLB |
|
NR ↑ |
| 42 |
|
Jeremy Hermida |
|
RF |
|
Foster has Hermida as his AIM buddy icon; guy's producing
at last: .285/.369/.495 |
|
23 |
|
FLA |
|
MLB |
|
25 ↓ |
| 43 |
|
Clayton
Kershaw |
|
LHP |
|
Teenager has been overpowering: 31.8% K, .194 BAA in LoA
and AA; 2.48 K/BB |
|
19 |
|
LAD |
|
AA |
|
45 ↑ |
| 44 |
|
Travis Buck |
|
RF |
|
Translation to MLB has been amazing, though his injuries
continue to be a concern |
|
23 |
|
OAK |
|
MLB |
|
81 ↑ |
| 45 |
|
Stephen
Drew |
|
SS |
|
.231/.307/.359
easily lands Drew among the season's biggest disappointments |
|
24 |
|
ARI |
|
MLB |
|
18 ↓ |
| 46 |
|
James Loney |
|
1B |
|
After slow '07 AAA start, hitting as many LD in the bigs
as he did last year in AAA |
|
23 |
|
LAD |
|
MLB |
|
49 ↑ |
| 47 |
|
Jarrod
Saltalamacchia |
C-1B |
|
Some things smaller in Texas? He's just
.241/.283/.380 at home since Teixeira trade |
22 |
|
TEX |
|
MLB |
|
95 ↑ |
| 48 |
|
Lastings Milledge |
|
OF |
|
Performing better in MLB and MiLB than he did in '06; 0.26
MLB BB/K rate (301 AB) |
|
22 |
|
NYM |
|
MLB |
|
54 ↑ |
| 49 |
|
Jered
Weaver |
|
RHP |
|
2nd year player is struggling: 1.03 WHIP, 28.5% K rate in
'06 vs. 1.38, 22.8% in '07 |
|
24 |
|
LAA |
|
AAA |
|
23 ↓ |
| 50 |
|
Adam Jones |
|
CF |
|
Career .291/.354/.476 minor leaguer will eventually
translate his game to the bigs |
|
22 |
|
SEA |
|
MLB |
|
80 ↑ |
| 51 |
|
Casey
Kotchman |
|
1B |
|
Steadily becoming the player the Angels hoped he could be:
.296/.364/.469 in '07 |
|
24 |
|
LAA |
|
MLB |
|
NR ↑ |
| 52 |
|
Pedro Alvarez |
|
3B |
|
What happens when pure strength, athleticism meet
discipline and patience? |
|
20 |
|
VAN |
|
NCAA |
|
103 ↑ |
| 53 |
|
Justin Smoak |
|
1B |
|
Switch-hitting power stroke yields comparisons to Chipper
Jones on regular basis |
|
20 |
|
SC |
|
NCAA |
|
NR ↑ |
| 54 |
|
Jacob McGee |
|
LHP |
|
2.63 K/BB in '06, 3.53 in '07; 30.8% K rate since start of
'06; has no. 1-2 potential |
|
21 |
|
TB |
|
AA |
|
75 ↑ |
| 55 |
|
Andrew
Miller |
|
LHP |
|
Posted 0.90 WHIP, 4.8 K/BB in AA - where he should have
spent majority of '07 |
|
22 |
|
DET |
|
MLB |
|
37 ↓ |
| 56 |
|
Brandon Wood |
|
3B |
|
LD rate up to 19% ('07) after 14% ('06); still, breakout
candidate hasn't broken out |
|
22 |
|
LAA |
|
MLB |
|
20 ↓ |
| 57 |
|
Rick Porcello |
|
RHP |
|
07's 27th overall pick may have gone as high as No. 2
without bonus demands |
|
18 |
|
DET |
|
HS |
|
NR ↑ |
| 58 |
|
Homer
Bailey |
|
RHP |
|
Fallen
from grace in '07 (1.40 K/BB, 1.46 WHIP); still want him over Phil
Hughes? |
|
21 |
|
CIN |
|
MLB |
|
22 ↓ |
| 59 |
|
Felix
Pie |
|
CF |
|
Too good for Triple-A (.410/.563), but isn't cutting it in
the Majors: .214/.272/.340 |
|
22 |
|
CHC |
|
MLB |
|
85 ↑ |
| 60 |
|
Andy LaRoche |
|
3B |
|
Produces when healthy; injuries continue to be a big
problem + he'll be 24 on 9/13 |
|
23 |
|
LAD |
|
MLB |
|
30 ↓ |
| 61 |
|
Andrew
McCutchen |
|
CF |
|
Hasn't had the breakout impact that was expected:
.263/.328/.386 in AAA/AA |
|
20 |
|
PIT |
|
AAA |
|
57 ↓ |
| 62 |
|
Johnny Cueto |
|
RHP |
|
5'10'', 198-pounder w/ dynamic stuff who pitched
well last year, too; just got hated on |
21 |
|
CIN |
|
AAA |
|
NR ↑ |
| 63 |
|
Rickie
Weeks |
|
2B |
|
Plenty
of potential, but has never collected more than 360 at-bats in a season |
|
24 |
|
MIN |
|
MLB |
|
53 ↓ |
| 64 |
|
Melky Cabrera |
|
OF |
|
Solid bet to be an slightly-above big leaguer for next
5-10 yrs; 0.73 BB/K in 2007 |
|
23 |
|
NYY |
|
MLB |
|
78 ↑ |
| 65 |
|
Reid
Brignac |
|
SS |
|
Preseason's hot, slugging SS has cooled off: .376/.539 in
'06 vs. .325/.433 in '07 |
|
21 |
|
TB |
|
AA |
|
60 ↓ |
| 66 |
|
Travis Snider |
|
RF |
|
His MWL success is similar to Bruce's; strong athlete with
lots of power potential |
|
19 |
|
TOR |
|
A |
|
88 ↑ |
| 67 |
|
Howie
Kendrick |
|
2B |
|
Injuries, stagnent 9:45 BB to K (9:44 in '06) aren't
helping his transition to the bigs |
|
24 |
|
LAA |
|
MLB |
|
43 ↓ |
| 68 |
|
Jeff Clement |
|
C |
|
Making strides in AAA, but his .259/.350/.430 line against
RHP is very worrisome |
|
24 |
|
SEA |
|
AAA |
|
89 ↑ |
| 69 |
|
Matt
Wieters |
|
C |
|
Power-hitting catcher posted an advanced 51:37 BB to K
clip at GA Tech in '07 |
|
21 |
|
BAL |
|
NCAA |
|
96 ↑ |
| 70 |
|
Brian Matusz |
|
LHP |
|
6'4'', 195-pounder has power aresnal & control,
composure; big '08 draft prospect |
|
20 |
|
SD |
|
NCAA |
|
111 ↑ |
| 71 |
|
Matt
Garza |
|
RHP |
|
07
MLB line (1.42 WHIP, 18.6% K) is only mild improvement from '06 (1.70,
16.4%) |
|
23 |
|
MIN |
|
MLB |
|
55 ↓ |
| 72 |
|
Carlos Gonzalez |
|
RF |
|
Powerful lefty took about 350 AB to adjust to AA; now
.287/.333/.470 overall in '07 |
|
21 |
|
ARI |
|
AAA |
|
58 ↓ |
| 73 |
|
Asdrubal
Cabrera |
|
2B |
|
Has range, bat (.380/.448 MilB) to do well at SS;
translates to high-end MLB 2B |
|
21 |
|
CLE |
|
MLB |
|
NR ↑ |
| 74 |
|
Fernando Martinez |
|
OF |
|
Respectable in AA; had to end season w/ (wrist); his
recovery could take a while |
|
18 |
|
NYM |
|
AA |
|
61 ↓ |
| 75 |
|
Mike
Moustakas |
|
3B |
|
The 2nd overall pick in the 2007 Draft; offers
as much power as any recent draftee |
18 |
|
KC |
|
R |
|
NR ↑ |
| 76 |
|
Dustin Pedroia |
|
2B |
|
Underdog is surprising; .315/.388/.435 in '07 (MLB),
.308/.392/.454 career MiLB |
|
24 |
|
BOS |
|
MLB |
|
118 ↑ |
| 77 |
|
Jonathan Broxton |
|
RHP |
|
His '07 season is on par with his '06 - and less HR; solid
bet to continue dominance |
|
23 |
|
LAD |
|
MLB |
|
90 ↑ |
| 78 |
|
Wladimir
Balentien |
|
LF |
|
Has really fallen off since All-Star break: .328/.397/.596
vs. .209.282/.328 |
|
23 |
|
SEA |
|
AAA |
|
NR ↑ |
| 79 |
|
Joel Zumaya |
|
RHP |
|
Finger injury was significant concern; 20.2% K, .205 BAA
('07), 27.7%, .187 in '06 |
|
22 |
|
DET |
|
MLB |
|
73 ↓ |
| 80 |
|
Will
Inman |
|
RHP |
|
Had a solid 50% GB rate in AA-Huntsville; 26% in
San Antonio; 26.7% K, 3.00 K/BB |
20 |
|
SD |
|
AA |
|
126 ↑ |
| 81 |
|
Chris Marrero |
|
LF |
|
Has 22 HR this year after hitting 0 in GCL last year (81
AB); .277/.341/.486 in A/A+ |
|
19 |
|
WAS |
|
AA |
|
NR ↑ |
| 82 |
|
Jason
Heyward |
|
RF |
|
6'4'', 220-pound specimen; .302/.354/.488
through 43 pro AB; '07's 14th overall pick |
18 |
|
ATL |
|
R |
|
NR ↑ |
| 83 |
|
Josh Vitters |
|
3B |
|
Likely 2008 assignment in MWL could be a tough one for
2007's no. 3 overall pick |
|
18 |
|
CHC |
|
SS |
|
NR ↑ |
| 84 |
|
Angel
Villalona |
|
3B |
|
Wonder kid holds crazy 35.1% XBH rate, .450 SLG - unheard
of for his age/level |
|
17 |
|
SF |
|
R |
|
NR ↑ |
| 85 |
|
Beau Mills |
|
1B |
|
Legit slugger has already advanced to his 3rd MiLB level;
42.4% XBH in 228 AB's |
|
21 |
|
CLE |
|
A+ |
|
NR ↑ |
| 86 |
|
Jarrod Parker |
|
RHP |
|
6-foot-2, 175-pounder went no. 9 overall in '07; features
plus fastball, electric stuff |
|
19 |
|
ARI |
|
HS |
|
NR ↑ |
| 87 |
|
Huston Street |
|
RHP |
|
Stuff isn't the question with him (.210 career BAA);
durability remains the question |
|
23 |
|
OAK |
|
MLB |
|
74 ↓ |
| 88 |
|
Gio
Gonzalez |
|
LHP |
|
K artist has been just that - 30.3% K, 3.25 K/BB, .216
BAA - in 27 starts this year |
|
21 |
|
CHW |
|
AA |
|
143 ↑ |
| 89 |
|
Ian Kennedy |
|
RHP |
|
29.1% K, 3.26 K/BB, 1.00 WHIP between AAA/AA/A+ in first
professional season |
|
22 |
|
NYY |
|
MLB |
|
NR ↑ |
| 90 |
|
Josh
Fields |
|
3B |
|
Holds 288 MLB AB's in '07 - solid power (.458
SLG), little else (.240 AVG .292 OBP) |
24 |
|
CHW |
|
MLB |
|
109 ↑ |
| 91 |
|
Michael Bowden |
|
RHP |
|
Middle-of-the-rotation talent; adjusting slowly/surely;
21.7% K, 3.1 K/BB, .259 BAA |
|
20 |
|
BOS |
|
AA |
|
130 ↑ |
| 92 |
|
Neil
Walker |
|
3B |
|
Has hit a brick wall in AAA: .184/.259/.224 in 49 AB's
(.288/.362/.462 prior in AA) |
|
21 |
|
PIT |
|
AAA |
|
123 ↑ |
| 93 |
|
Lars Anderson |
|
1B |
|
Signed for top 50 overall pick bonus in '06; powerful
hitter who walks and K's a lot |
|
19 |
|
BOS |
|
A+ |
|
NR ↑ |
| 94 |
|
Wade Davis |
|
RHP |
|
Not standing out as much in AA; 27.1% K last year in LoA,
23.2% this year in AA |
|
21 |
|
TB |
|
AA |
|
NR ↑ |
| 95 |
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Joakim
Soria |
|
RHP |
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Youthful closer has electric stuff, stats to back it: 1.02
WHIP, .197 BAA, 3.33 K/BB |
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23 |
|
KC |
|
MLB |
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NR ↑ |
| 96 |
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Brett Anderson |
|
LHP |
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55th overall pick in '06 still has a lot to prove, but
24.8% K, 6.1 K/BB is a solid start |
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19 |
|
ARI |
|
A+ |
|
NR ↑ |
| 97 |
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Carlos
Triunfel |
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SS |
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Just
6 months older than Villalona; already in High-A (.292/.340/.359 in 195
AB's) |
|
17 |
|
SEA |
|
A+ |
|
NR ↑ |
| 98 |
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Eric Hurley |
|
RHP |
|
Has been able to succeed in AAA; may take a while to
transition to MLB, though |
|
21 |
|
TEX |
|
AAA |
|
128 ↑ |
| 99 |
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Carlos
Gomez |
|
OF |
|
Currently rehabbing broken wrist in the FSL; .303/.333,
9-11 SB in 42 MLB games |
|
21 |
|
NYM |
|
MLB |
|
108 ↑ |
| 100 |
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Deolis Guerra |
|
RHP |
|
High-ceiling Venezuelan continues to perform,
but injuries are becoming concerning |
18 |
|
NYM |
|
A+ |
|
105 ↑ |
| Honorables:
Joey Votto (CIN), Daric Barton (OAK), Elvis Andrus (TEX), Matt Antonelli
(SD), Matt LaPorta (MIL), and Tyler Robertson (MIN). |
| Graduated
(final ranking): Grady Sizemore (7), Adrian Gonzalez (24), Carlos Quentin
(29), Conor Jackson (36), Jason Kubel (41), |
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| Tom Gorzelanny
(68), Ian Kinsler (83), J.J. Hardy (106), Jhonny Peralta (107), Paul Maholm
(113), and Shin-Soo Choo (132). |
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| * Our rankings
combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favor recent
production as well as draft position or signing bonus |
| ** Ages are as
of August 31st, 2007 |
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| *** Level is
the highest level the player has reached |
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| **** Pre. is
the player's rankings from our March 24th Top 150 Under 25 |
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| <<< Our March 24th Top 150 Under 25 |
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| <<< Discuss these rankings |
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| <<< Send questions and comments to
adamf@projectprospect.com |
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