2008 College Draft Preview: Take 1 | ||||||||||||||
No. | Player | Pos | Notes | Age | YR | TM | CON | |||||||
1 | Pedro Alvarez | 3B | The best college hitter since Mark Teixeira, but with even more power | 21.0 | Jr. | VAN | SEC | |||||||
2 | Brian Matusz | LHP | Turned down seven figures in '05 draft; has control of 3 plus pitches | 21.0 | Jr. | SD | WCC | |||||||
3 | Justin Smoak | 1B | Good athlete for 1B had 46.3% of his hits go for extra bases in 2007 | 21.2 | Jr. | SC | SEC | |||||||
4 | Yonder Alonso | 1B | Polished hitter with great zone judgment, could post 400 OBP in MLB | 20.8 | Jr. | MIA | ACC | |||||||
5 | Aaron Crow | RHP | Best FB/SL combo in college, FB touched 98 over summer, low BB% | 21.5 | Jr. | MIZ | Big-12 | |||||||
6 | Brett Wallace | 3B | Massive slugger (6'1'' 245lbs) with 40+ power, will move to 1B or DH | 21.5 | Jr. | ASU | Pac-10 | |||||||
7 | Lance Lynn | RHP | Could be best player on the best team, 146K/44BB 123IP, great curve | 20.7 | Jr. | UMS | SEC | |||||||
8 | Jemile Weeks | 2B | Much better fielder than Rickie with nearly as much offensive potential | 21.0 | Jr. | MIA | ACC | |||||||
9 | Tyson Ross | RHP | Productive in good pitchers park, works 92-95 with top-notch slurve | 21.8 | Jr. | Cal | Pac-10 | |||||||
10 | Jordan Danks | CF | 1st round talent in HS, 70 speed, lead Texas in 2Bs and BBs in 2007 | 21.5 | Jr. | UT | Big-12 | |||||||
11 | James Darnell | 3B | Good zone judgment + power; should stick at 3B; .331/.450/.615 ('07) | 21.1 | Jr. | SC | SEC | |||||||
12 | Buster Posey | C | Former SS, great athlete with good arm; hit .382/.453/.520 in 2007 | 20.9 | Jr. | FSU | ACC | |||||||
13 | Petey Paramore | C | Potential to be rare high OBP catcher; hit .379/.500/.549 w/ 53 BB ('07) | 21.3 | Jr. | ASU | Pac-10 | |||||||
14 | Gordon Beckham | SS | Strong arm, good speed, hits for power; D needs work; could stay SS | 21.4 | Jr. | UGA | SEC | |||||||
15 | Allan Dykstra | 1B | Huge slugger (6'5'' 240lbs) has great eye at plate and big time power | 20.7 | Jr. | WFU | ACC | |||||||
16 | Scott Green | RHP | Durablilty has been problem but healthy now, mid 90s FB, good slider | 22.5 | Jr. | KU | SEC | |||||||
17 | Kyle Russell | RF | 28 HR and .807 slug but has long swing + Ks a ton (64 in 224 '07 ab) | 21.6 | Jr. | UT | Big-12 | |||||||
18 | Christian Friedrich | LHP | Racks up lots of Ks with lights-out curve; control has been a problem | 20.7 | Jr. | EKU | OVC | |||||||
19 | Aaron Luna | LF/2B | Played all over the field, has good speed, power, and plate discipline | 20.9 | Jr. | Rice | CUSA | |||||||
20 | Brandon Crawford | SS | Potential 5-tool SS; needs to make consistant contact (58 Ks in '07) | 21.0 | Jr. | UCLA | Pac-10 | |||||||
Honorable Mentions: Jacob Thompson (P, Virginia), Tim Murphy (P, UCLA) and Danny Espinosa (SS, Long Beach State). | ||||||||||||||
* Ages are as of 2/26/08 (only draft-eligible players are considered) | ||||||||||||||
** TM is the player's school | ||||||||||||||
*** CON is the player's conference | ||||||||||||||
**** Our rankings combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favor recent production | ||||||||||||||
<<< Discuss these rankings in our forums |
With college baseball kicking off this past weekend, amateur scouting is in full swing as well. While much is sure to change in the four months between now and the Rule IV draft, having some general knowledge of the big men on campus is a good thing.
This year’s class is dominated by corner infield sluggers. Vanderbilt third baseman Pedro Alvarez is the consensus number 1 player in this draft and as many as five other corner infielders could go in the first couple rounds of the draft. Oddly, the majority of those players are first basemen – Alvarez himself may move to first at some point – but MLB teams have shown a resistance to select college first basemen in recent drafts. Since 1998, when Carlos Pena went tenth overall, just four collegiate first basemen have been taken in the first round – and that number includes Mark Teixeira who actually played third at Georgia Tech and initially in pro ball.
Power pitchers also dominate this class San Diego’s Brian Matusz and Missouri’s Aaron Crow vying for potential number 1 overall selection and the right to join a packed Tampa Bay Rays’ system. Guys like Eastern Kentucky’s Christian Friedrich, Pepperdine’s Brett Hunter, Arizona’s Ryan Perry, and Ole Miss’ Cody Scatterwhite all have very good fastballs, the potential to strike out a lot of batters, and could hear their names called in round one with improved control and good production this spring.
While power is appears plentiful in 2008, speed and defense may be harder to find. Texas centerfielder Jordan Danks may have not quite lived up to expectations thus far in his career but still could be an early to mid first round pick as a centerfield/leadoff hitting prospect extraordinaire. Jemile Weeks, Miami’s second baseman, could go ahead of any college shortstops – which would be the first time a college second baseman went before any shortstops since Jemile’s older brother Rickie was selected No. 2 overall in 2003. The shortstop crop has the likes of toolsy-but-lacking-in-production guys (Brandon Crawford, UCLA), powerful athletes with some glove questions (Gordon Beckham, Georgia) and slick fielders with somewhat questionable bats (Danny Espinosa, Long Beach State and Beamer Weems, Baylor).
There's your introduction of what to expect from the college side of the game come the first round or so of the 2008 Draft. Keep checking back over the next three months for our updated Top 20 college draft prospect lists.
Lincoln can be reached at lhamilton@dentonoutlaws.com.