Top 25 Prospect Rankings

May 19, 2008

Here we are about a quarter of the way through the 2008 minor league season and Colby Rasmus is still as cold as the Arctic Ocean. The 21-year-old is batting .182/.267/.309 with six home runs and almost identical walk and strikeout rates as last season. He just isn't hitting the ball hard with much consistency. Meanwhile, Jay Bruce is proving ready for a job in the big leagues. The lefty has a ridiculous 35% line-drive rate to go along with a .363/.392/.669 Triple-A vital line.

 

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No.   Player   Pos.   Comments   Age   Org   Lvl   Pre.
1   Jay Bruce   CF   Any prospect can miss, but we really can't imagine Bruce doing so; he's .363/.392/.669 in '08 21.1   CIN   AAA   1 ↔
2   Clayton Kershaw   LHP   Still hasn't given up a HR this season (42.1 IP); finding more success in AA than he did in A   20.1   LAD   AA   4 ↑
3   Evan Longoria   3B   He hasn't been a good contact hitter above Double-A -- .243 BA (246 ab), 23.7% K (295 PA)   22.5   TB   MLB   2 ↓
4   Joba Chamberlain   RHP   56 K vs. 13 BB through 42.1 MLB IP -- gives him a 34.1% K and 7.9% BB though 164 batters   22.6   NYY   MLB   5 ↑
5   Matt Wieters   C   Prospects tend to be promoted upon posting a .360+ wOBA over 200 PA; .408 (164) here   21.9   BAL   A+   6 ↑
6   Matt LaPorta   LF   Like Wieters, he's ready for a promotion (.430 in 192); solid contact bat with a lot of power   23.3   MIL   AA   7 ↑
7   Colby Rasmus   CF   One of the mysteries of the minors this year; we still believe in him but not like we used to   21.7   STL   AAA   3 ↓
8   Cameron Maybin   CF   Fast enough for CF -- very powerful for that position; contact skills are poor (31.5% K in '08)   21.1   FLA   MLB   8 ↔
9   Travis Snider   LF   After slow AA start, has .371 wOBA in May; struggling w/ contact (.234 BA, 33.7% K in '08)   20.2   TOR   AA   11 ↑
10   Andrew McCutchen CF   Has cooled off significantly in May but still hitting well -- .284/.379/.450 w/ .368 wOBA overall 21.6   PIT   AAA   12 ↑
11   Rick Porcello   RHP   Proving difficult to hit and even more to elevate that ball off of -- 7.2% BB, 14.4% K, 3.61 FIP   19.3   DET   A+   13 ↑
12   Homer Bailey   RHP   Struggled over last 2 starts (5.0 IP, 4 H, 4 K, 6 BB; 4.1 IP, 11 H, 1 K, 2 BB); 4.09 FIP this year   22.0   CIN   MLB   10 ↓
13   David Price   LHP   After facing Price in Extended ST, A-Rod told MLB.com, "I wish he was on our team."   22.7   TB   NCAA   14 ↑
14   Andy LaRoche   3B   As hot as ever in AAA: .306/.514/.571 this season -- note the 31.5% BB; starting in LA soon? 24.6   LAD   MLB   16 ↑
15   Trevor Cahill   RHP   08's most dominant MiLB pitcher to date: 32.8% K, 6.3% BB, 66% GB, 2.42 FIP in CAL League 20.2   OAK   A+   18 ↑
16   Jarrod Parker   RHP   Been very good though not dominant so far in Low-A: 20.7% K, 4.4% BB, 2.99 FIP (135 TBF)   19.4   ARI   A   20 ↑
17   Madison Bumgarner LHP   Dominating South Atlantic League through 38.2 IP (161 TBF): 29.2% K, 5.6% BB, 1.90 FIP   18.7   SF   A   NR ↑
18   Mike Moustakas   SS   While he's not walking much, Moustakas has been mashing in May: .306/.368/.565 (68 PA)   19.6   KC   A   30 ↑
19   Angel Villalona   1B   Another Low-A hitter who started slow but is heating up, Villa has a .357 wOBA in May   17.7   SF   A   26 ↑
20   Max Scherzer   RHP   Hard to argue w/ success he's found in 4 MLB starts (82 BF): 28.0% K, 8.5% BB, 2.19 FIP   23.8   ARI   MLB   29 ↑
21   Jason Heyward   RF   You can't expect much more in a guy's pro debut: .327/.369/.488 w/ 16 XBH through 179 PA   18.7   ATL   A   31 ↑
22   Jeff Clement   C   It was only 56 PA, but his performance in recent callup signals "overmatched"; .256 wOBA   24.7   SEA   MLB   15 ↓
23   Jaime Garcia   LHP   It's time to view him as a legit prospect; 26.6% K, 8.5% BB, & appx. 2.18 FIP in '08 (AA/AAA) 21.8   STL   AAA   NR ↑
24   Sean Gallagher   RHP   Coming off a promising start against the Pirates: 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K; potential No. 3?   22.3   CHC   MLB   NR ↑
25   Jake McGee   LHP   Not nearly as dominant as he was last season: 22.8% K, 9.9% BB, 3.66 FIP through 171 BF   21.7   TB   AA   17 ↓
Honorables: Mat Gamel (MIL), Ian Kennedy (NYY), Fernando Martinez (NYM), Justin Masterson (BOS), Nick Weglarz (CLE), and Chris Marrero (WAS).
Graduated (final ranking): Johnny Cueto (9).                
Dropped out of Top 25 (previous ranking): Carlos Gonzalez (19), Chris Marrero (21), Fernando Martinez (22), Brandon Wood (23), Justin Masterson (24),
and Brett Anderson (25).                    
* Our rankings combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favor recent production                
*** Ages are as of May 19th, 2008                
**** Level is the highest level the player has reached                
                             
<<< Our May 5th Top 25                      
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Adam Foster can be reached at adamf@projectprospect.com.