Top 25 Prospect Rankings

June 9, 2008

With the 2008 Draft in the books, we're reminded how fast draft picks can rise. The 2007 class is taking over this list. Matt Wieters, Matt LaPorta, and David Price all enter this week's top five overall, while five other of last year's first rounders also made the list. Creating room for these players to rise, Evan Longoria, Joba Chamberlain, Homer Bailey, Sean Gallagher, and Ian Kennedy have all now graduated to the majors.

 

Thanks for checking back for our second year of in-season Top 25 prospect rankings.
No.   Player   Pos.   Comments   Age   Org   Lvl   Pre.
1   Jay Bruce   CF   Bruce still almighty: 21-year-old wunderkind is now .400/.500/.636 through first 66 MLB PA   21.1   CIN   MLB   1 ↔
2   Clayton Kershaw   LHP   Welcome to the bigs: He has allowed two HR in 14.2 IP -- hadn't given up any in 43.1 AA IP   20.2   LAD   MLB   2 ↔
3   Matt Wieters   C   The 6-foot-5, 230-pounder is too good to still be in High-A: .344/.436/.582 with a .415 wOBA   22.0   BAL   A+   5 ↑
4   Matt LaPorta   LF   Walk this way: LaPorta's BB rate is up from 7.8% in A-ball to 13.4% in Double-A; .411 wOBA   23.4   MIL   AA   6 ↑
5   David Price   LHP   High-A has been too easy for 07's No. 1 overall pick; 26.4% K, 3.4% BB, 1.77 FIP (23.1 IP)   22.7   TB   A+   13 ↑
6   Colby Rasmus   CF   Turning things around? He's .269/.406/.538 with 2 HR in June (32) PA; hit 2 HR in all of May   21.8   STL   AAA   7 ↑
7   Andrew McCutchen CF   SLG has dropped each month: .510 in April, .411 in May, .346 to start June; still, .447 overall   21.6   PIT   AAA   10 ↑
8   Cameron Maybin   CF   Solid across the board -- except for contact; .268/.366/.495, .372 wOBA, and 29.5% K-rate   21.1   FLA   MLB   8 ↔
9   Travis Snider   LF   Walking (12.6%), but lack of contact (.256 BA, 30.7% K) & power (.190 IsoP) = dissapointing   20.3   TOR   AA   9 ↔
10   Rick Porcello   RHP   Keeping the ball on the ground (65% GB), runners off bases (6.6% BB, .254 BAA); 14.2% K   19.3   DET   A+   11 ↑
11   Andy LaRoche   3B   Outstanding BB rate (23.3%) and isn't King (8.6%); power is down significantly (.143 IsoP)   24.7   LAD   MLB   14 ↑
12   Trevor Cahill   RHP   Still dominating High-A: 32.8% K, 7.2% BB, 2.86 FIP; has faced 66.4% as many batters as '07   20.2   OAK   A+   15 ↑
13   Madison Bumgarner LHP   With Kershaw in the bigs and Price likely to follow shortly, he may open '10 as MiLB's top LHP   18.8   SF   A   17 ↑
14   Max Scherzer   RHP   Pitching like a No. 2 starter through 29.0 MLB innings -- 3.51 FIP; 25.4% K, 10.3% BB, 6 XBH   23.8   ARI   MLB   20 ↑
15   Mike Moustakas   SS   Had a .351 wOBA in May; just .225 in April & .248 through June (34 PA); .292 wOBA to date   19.7   KC   A   18 ↑
16   Jason Heyward   RF   Rome is burning: He's been dominant for Atlanta's A-ball affiliate: (.330/.385/.509, .385 wOBA) 18.8   ATL   A   21 ↑
17   Jaime Garcia   LHP   He's getting hit harder in AAA than AA; he's looking a potential top-of-the-rotation starter   21.9   STL   AAA   23 ↑
18   Mat Gamel   3B   Who is Gamel? A 22-year-old who's hitting .380/.447/.663 through 293 AA plate appearances   22.8   MIL   AA   26 ↑
19   Jeff Clement   C   We know he can crush AAA pitching; we don't know if he'll be able to do the same in the bigs   24.8   SEA   AAA   22 ↑
20   Justin Masterson   RHP   Has been lucky in bigs so far (.177 BABIP and 2.59 ERA vs. 4.89 FIP); still, getting Ks, GBs   23.2   BOS   MLB   29 ↑
21   Jarrod Parker   RHP   Similar to Porcello, he's not getting a ton of Ks (19.5%), but he has a great walk rate (5.7%)   19.5   ARI   A   16 ↓
22   Nick Weglarz   LF   Struck out 24.1% of the time in '07 (.383 wOBA), just 16.9% of the time this year (.366 wOBA) 20.4   CLE   A+   30 ↑
23   Fernando Martinez   CF   Four graduations and some guys have to rise, even if they're currently injured (hamstring)   19.6   NYM   AA   28 ↑
24   Carlos Gonzalez   RF   Only 36 PA deep into his MLB career, he already has 7 doubles; .266 wOBA after .327 in PCL   22.6   OAK   MLB   NR ↑
25   Chris Davis   1B   We don't have both feet on the Davis wagon; there have just been lots of graduations lately   22.2   TEX   AAA   NR ↑
Honorables: Jake McGee (TB), Chris Marrero (WAS), Jeremy Hellickson (TB), Bryan Anderson (STL), Chris Volstad (FLA), and Brandon Wood (LAA).
Graduated (final ranking): Evan Longoria (3), Joba Chamberlain (4), Homer Bailey (12), and Sean Gallagher (24).                
Dropped out of Top 25 (previous ranking): Angel Villalona (19) and Jake McGee (25)                
* Our rankings combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favor recent production                
*** Ages are as of June 9th, 2008                
**** Level is the highest level the player has reached                
                             
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Adam Loberstein can be reached at aloberstein@projectprospect.com. Adam Foster can be reached at adamf@projectprospect.com.