Sullymetrics: Dominance Factor Top 25s

July 31, 2008

With the majority of the minor league season already played out, it's becoming easier to pluck out some of this season's true breakout performers. As far as dominating starting pitchers go, there are two clear choices: Oakland's Brett Anderson and Trevor Cahill. This Dominance Factor update breaks down the top 25 starting pitchers at each level, from Triple-A down to Low-A.

Editor's Note: For a full explaination of Dominance Factor, please read Brett's first article on the topic.

 

Top 25 AAA Dominance Factors for 2008
Player DF Age IP Org Lvl BB% K% GB% RD% AgeLvl AgeMod
1. Sean Gallagher 88.9 22.5 29.0 CHC AAA 7.7 25.6 56.0 73.9 24.0 15
2. Jaime Garcia 85.6 22.0 71.0 STL AAA 8.4 19.0 55.0 65.6 24.0 20
3. Aaron Laffey 83.8 23.2 26.0 CLE AAA 5.5 18.3 63.0 75.8 24.0 8
4. Tommy Hunter 83.6 22.0 33.1 TEX AAA 2.9 12.5 54.0 63.6 24.0 20
5. Max Scherzer 78.6 24.0 29.2 ARI AAA 9.8 37.4 51.0 78.6 24.0 0
6. David Huff 76.9 23.9 53.0 CLE AAA 2.9 25.8 53.0 75.9 24.0 1
7. Homer Bailey 75.9 22.2 93.2 CIN AAA 9.4 20.3 47.0 57.9 24.0 18
8. Carlos Rosa 71.4 23.8 47.2 KC AAA 5.3 21.7 53.0 69.4 24.0 2
9. Collin Balester 71.4 22.1 78.2 WAS AAA 6.9 19.3 40.0 52.4 24.0 19
10. Clayton Richard 70.5 24.8 38.0 CHW AAA 2.8 20.3 61.0 78.5 24.0 -8
11. Nick Adenhart 70.2 21.9 106.1 LAA AAA 10.7 16.9 43.0 49.2 24.0 21
12. Shairon Martis 70.2 21.3 35.2 WAS AAA 9.4 22.6 30.0 43.2 24.0 27
13. Greg Reynolds 69.1 23.0 44.1 COL AAA 6.6 12.7 53.0 59.1 24.0 10
14. Daryl Thompson 69.0 22.7 39.2 CIN AAA 5.7 17.7 44.0 56.0 24.0 13
15. Jeff Samardzija 67.8 23.5 37.1 CHC AAA 10.5 26.3 47.0 62.8 24.0 5
16. Eric Hurley 67.7 22.7 74.2 TEX AAA 8.6 21.3 42.0 54.7 24.0 13
17. Adam Miller 66.6 23.5 28.2 CLE AAA 9.8 16.4 55.0 61.6 24.0 5
18. Charlie Morton 66.4 24.6 79.0 ATL AAA 8.7 23.1 58.0 72.4 24.0 -6
19. Gio Gonzalez 66.3 22.8 115.0 OAK AAA 11.7 24.0 42.0 54.3 24.0 12
20. Eulogio De La Cruz 64.3 24.3 106.0 FLA AAA 10.6 18.9 59.0 67.3 24.0 -3
21. Ian Kennedy 63.8 23.6 39.1 NYY AAA 7.7 20.5 47.0 59.8 24.0 4
22. Mitch Talbot 62.6 24.7 123.2 TB AAA 4.2 19.8 54.0 69.6 24.0 -7
23. Clayton Mortensen 61.7 23.2 54.0 STL AAA 10.3 15.0 49.0 53.7 24.0 8
24. P.J. Walters 61.7 23.3 87.0 STL AAA 10.2 21.9 43.0 54.7 24.0 7
25. Chris Mason 60.6 23.9 95.0 TB AAA 7.9 18.5 49.0 59.6 24.0 1
* only pitchers with 50.0+ minor league innings this season are eligible for this list        
** RD% is raw dominance percentage (K% + GB% - BB%)            
*** Ages are as of 7/28/2008                    
                       
Top 25 AA Dominance Factors for 2008
Player DF Age IP Org Lvl BB% K% GB% RD% AgeLvl AgeMod
1. Brett Anderson 98.4 20.4 25.0 OAK AA 8.2 29.6 56.0 77.4 22.5 21
2. Trevor Cahill 94.3 20.4 37.0 OAK AA 12.6 21.9 64.0 73.3 22.5 21
3. Clayton Kershaw 85.6 20.3 61.1 LAD AA 7.9 24.5 47.0 63.6 22.5 22
4. Jaime Garcia 84.3 22.0 35.0 STL AA 11.0 28.3 62.0 79.3 22.5 5
5. Brett Cecil 83.8 22.0 77.2 TOR AA 7.1 26.9 59.0 78.8 22.5 5
6. Chris Tillman 74.2 20.2 100.2 BAL AA 12.2 23.4 40.0 51.2 22.5 23
7. Justin Masterson 73.4 23.3 38.1 BOS AA 9.5 21.9 69.0 81.4 22.5 -8
8. Vincent Mazzaro 73.2 21.8 137.1 OAK AA 6.5 18.7 54.0 66.2 22.5 7
9. Jon Niese 73.1 21.7 124.1 NYM AA 8.4 21.5 52.0 65.1 22.5 8
10. Carlos Carrasco 71.2 21.3 114.2 PHI AA 9.3 22.5 46.0 59.2 22.5 12
11. Chris Volstad 70.8 21.8 91.0 FLA AA 7.8 14.6 57.0 63.8 22.5 7
12. Jess Todd 70.7 22.2 89.1 STL AA 5.9 19.6 54.0 67.7 22.5 3
13. Michael Bowden 69.1 21.8 104.1 BOS AA 6.0 25.1 43.0 62.1 22.5 7
14. Jeremy Hellickson 67.9 21.3 39.1 TB AA 3.1 22.0 37.0 55.9 22.5 12
15. David Price 66.6 22.9 45.0 TB AA 6.7 21.3 56.0 70.6 22.5 -4
16. Aaron Poreda 66.0 21.8 51.2 CHW AA 8.1 18.1 49.0 59.0 22.5 7
17. Ryan Tucker 65.1 21.6 70.0 FLA AA 9.4 21.5 44.0 56.1 22.5 9
18. Jordan Zimmerman 64.9 22.1 91.2 WAS AA 8.8 21.7 48.0 60.9 22.5 4
19. James Simmons 64.8 21.8 100.1 OAK AA 4.7 21.5 41.0 57.8 22.5 7
20. Clayton Mortensen 64.1 23.2 59.2 STL AA 8.5 18.6 61.0 71.1 22.5 -7
21. Steve Garrison 63.7 21.8 113.0 SD AA 6.6 20.3 43.0 56.7 22.5 7
22. Shairon Martis 63.2 21.3 74.2 WAS AA 8.8 18.0 42.0 51.2 22.5 12
23. Bradley Begesen 62.1 22.8 117.1 BAL AA 4.2 12.3 57.0 65.1 22.5 -3
24. Carlos Rosa 62.1 23.8 45.0 KC AA 4.2 25.3 54.0 75.1 22.5 -13
25. Tommy Hanson 61.8 21.9 70.1 ATL AA 9.7 24.5 41.0 55.8 22.5 6
* only pitchers with 50.0+ minor league innings this season are eligible for this list        
** RD% is raw dominance percentage (K% + GB% - BB%)            

*** Ages are as of 7/28/2008

                   
                       
Top 25 A+ Dominance Factors for 2008
Player DF Age IP Org Lvl BB% K% GB% RD% AgeLvl AgeMod
1. Trevor Cahill 88.9 20.4 87.1 OAK A+ 9.0 29.9 62.0 82.9 21.0 6
2. Brett Anderson 87.9 20.4 74.0 OAK A+ 5.8 25.7 62.0 81.9 21.0 6
3. Rick Porcello 86.0 19.5 105.0 DET A+ 6.6 13.6 64.0 71.0 21.0 15
4. Jhoulys Chacin 85.5 20.5 36.1 COL A+ 4.9 25.4 60.0 80.5 21.0 5
5. Mark Diapoules 80.8 20.1 26.0 STL A+ 9.2 22.0 59.0 71.8 21.0 9
6. Tim Alderson 73.9 19.7 115.1 SF A+ 7.1 22.0 46.0 60.9 21.0 13
7. Jeremy Jeffress 73.0 20.8 61.0 MIL A+ 11.2 31.2 51.0 71.0 21.0 2
8. Jeremy Hellickson 70.3 21.3 76.2 TB A+ 1.7 28.0 47.0 73.3 21.0 -3
9. Zach McAllister 69.6 20.6 64.2 NYY A+ 2.3 15.9 52.0 65.6 21.0 4
10. Henry Rodriguez 69.1 21.3 64.2 OAK A+ 12.6 32.7 52.0 72.1 21.0 -3
11. Tyler Robertson 68.9 20.5 82.2 MN A+ 8.8 20.7 52.0 63.9 21.0 5
12. Jordan Zimmerman 68.2 22.0 27.1 WAS A+ 8.1 31.3 55.0 78.2 21.0 -10
13. Jeanmar Gomez 68.1 19.8 100.2 CLE A+ 9.1 18.2 47.0 56.1 21.0 12
14. Alexandre Periard 67.5 21.1 112.2 MIL A+ 6.2 15.7 59.0 68.5 21.0 -1
15. Clayton Tanner 66.5 20.6 83.0 SF A+ 7.9 16.4 54.0 62.5 21.0 4
16. Brandon Erbe 66.1 20.5 104.2 BAL A+ 7.3 24.4 44.0 61.1 21.0 5
17. Timothy Sexton 65.9 21.0 114.1 LAD A+ 5.7 14.6 57.0 65.9 21.0 0
18. Hector Rondon 64.7 20.4 109.0 CLE A+ 8.0 24.7 42.0 58.7 21.0 6
19. Luis Marte 64.5 21.8 42.0 DET A+ 7.2 24.7 55.0 72.5 21.0 -8
20. Kasey Kiker 63.3 20.6 93.0 TEX A+ 6.5 19.8 46.0 59.3 21.0 4
21. Omar Poveda 62.4 20.7 55.2 TEX A+ 9.2 23.6 45.0 59.4 21.0 3
22. Bryan Augenstein 61.9 21.9 28.0 ARI A+ 3.3 13.2 61.0 70.9 21.0 -9
23. Sean O'Sullivan 60.2 20.8 114.2 LAA A+ 7.1 16.3 49.0 58.2 21.0 2
24. Edward Cegarra 60.0 19.4 69.1 KC A+ 4.0 11.0 37.0 44.0 21.0 16
25. Anuery Rodriguez 59.5 20.5 123.1 COL A+ 6.7 20.2 41.0 54.5 21.0 5
* only pitchers with 50.0+ minor league innings this season are eligible for this list        
** RD% is raw dominance percentage (K% + GB% - BB%)            
*** Ages are as of 7/28/2008                    
                       
Top 25 A Dominance Factors for 2008
Player DF Age IP Org Lvl BB% K% GB% RD% AgeLvl AgeMod
1. Jairo Heredia 82.2 18.8 81.1 NYY A 9.9 22.1 58.0 70.2 20.0 12
2. Madison Bumgarner 79.8 18.9 102.1 SF A 4.4 27.2 46.0 68.8 20.0 11
3. Dae-Eun Rhee 79.6 19.3 40.0 CHC A 9.9 20.5 62.0 72.6 20.0 7
4. Edward Cegarra 76.6 19.4 54.0 KC A 2.4 25.0 48.0 70.6 20.0 6
5. Jhoulys Chacin 76.2 20.5 111.1 COL A 6.7 21.9 66.0 81.2 20.0 -5
6. Phillipe Aumont 76.2 19.5 44.2 SEA A 7.0 23.2 55.0 71.2 20.0 5
7. Trevor Reckling 74.6 19.1 121.1 LAA A 9.8 19.4 56.0 65.6 20.0 9
8. Neftali Feliz 74.1 20.2 82.0 TEX A 8.6 32.7 52.0 76.1 20.0 -2
9. Mark Diapoules 73.2 20.1 55.2 STL A 8.9 22.1 61.0 74.2 20.0 -1
10. Zach McAllister 72.7 20.6 62.1 NYY A 3.2 20.9 61.0 78.7 20.0 -6
11. Jordan Walden 71.9 20.6 107.1 LAA A 7.5 21.4 64.0 77.9 20.0 -6
12. Evan Anundsen 71.7 20.1 112.2 MIL A 5.6 17.3 61.0 72.7 20.0 -1
13. Zach Britton 71.4 20.5 117.2 MIL A 7.3 17.7 66.0 76.4 20.0 -5
14. Kennil Gomez 69.2 20.3 88.0 TEX A 5.6 19.8 58.0 72.2 20.0 -3
15. Blake Beavan 66.7 19.4 91.2 TEX A 4.1 12.8 52.0 60.7 20.0 6
16. Juan Ramirez 66.4 19.8 89.1 SEA A 7.6 21.0 51.0 64.4 20.0 2
17. Kelvin De La Cruz 66.1 20.4 95.2 CLE A 8.8 24.9 54.0 70.1 20.0 -4
18. Richard Castillo 65.9 18.7 38.1 STL A 12.3 29.2 36.0 52.9 20.0 13
19. Jarrod Parker 64.2 19.5 90.2 ARI A 7.1 21.3 45.0 59.2 20.0 5
20. Michael Pineda 64.1 19.5 99.0 SEA A 7.9 20.0 47.0 59.1 20.0 5
21. Fabio Castillo 63.5 19.4 70.2 TEX A 10.8 19.3 49.0 57.5 20.0 6
22. Jose Ortegano 62.9 20.9 79.2 ATL A 6.6 23.5 55.0 71.9 20.0 -9
23. Danny Duffy 62.9 19.6 62.2 KC A 6.7 30.6 35.0 58.9 20.0 4
24. Daniel Gutierrez 62.3 21.3 61.2 KC A 5.5 29.8 51.0 75.3 20.0 -13
25. Kyle Kaminska 62.1 19.8 79.1 FLA A 3.6 20.7 43.0 60.1 20.0 2
* only pitchers with 50.0+ minor league innings this season are eligible for this list        
** RD% is raw dominance percentage (K% + GB% - BB%)            
*** Ages are as of 7/28/2008