Top 15 Under 25

August 29, 2008

It's been nearly two months since our last Under 25 update, so movers and shakers are to be expected. Some shakes, however, have been more like earthquakes, courtesy of Evan Longoria. The Rays third baseman has moved from No. 17 to No. 11 to his current position at No. 3 in our past three Under 25's. Tim Lincecum has claimed the No. 1 overall slot on the board, edging past Hanley Ramirez to become king of the Under 25 mountain -- meanwhile, Prince Fielder slides to No. 5.

 

Thanks for checking back for our second year of in-season rankings.
No.   Player   Pos.   Comments   Age   Org   Lvl   Pre.
1   Tim Lincecum   RHP   One of three NL pitchers with a FIP under 3.00 -- along with Dan Haren and Brandon Webb   24.0   SF   MLB   3 ↑
2   Hanley Ramirez   SS   Power outage: OBP similar after ASG (.391 vs. .382), but SLG way down (.566 vs. 444)   24.6   FLA   MLB   1 ↓
3   Evan Longoria   3B   Rookie is .278/.352/.533, .365 wOBA; strikeouts are the only thing holding him back (26.8%)   22.8   TB   MLB   11 ↑
4   Ryan Braun   LF   Hanley Ramirez and Braun are the only under 25 players in the bigs with wOBAs over .380   24.7   MIL   MLB   7 ↑
5   Prince Fielder   1B   Strikeouts are up from last year (21.1% vs. 23.0), power is way down (.330 IsoP vs. .226)   24.3   MIL   MLB   2 ↓
6   Felix Hernandez   RHP   More BB in '08 than '07 (9.2% vs. 6.6%), fewer GB (52% vs. 62%); 3.72 FIP is career-best   22.3   SEA   MLB   4 ↓
7   Justin Upton   RF   Awful K rate in bigs (27.9%), but hitting for power as one of the youngest player in the bigs   21.0   ARI   MLB   6 ↓
8   Brian McCann   C   Looking a lot more like the player we saw in 2006 than 2007; .295/.367/.527 w/ 22 HR overall   24.5   ATL   MLB   8 ↔
9   Scott Kazmir   LHP   GB% is way down (31%) from '07 (44%) and '06 (45%); FIP increase every year from '06-'08   24.0   TB   MLB   5 ↓
10   Chad Billingsley   RHP   K% increase, BB% decrease every season since '06; all this while sporting a 50% GB in '08   24.0   LAD   MLB   22 ↑
11   Nick Markakis   RF   wOBA has gone up 20 pts. each MLB season (.340 in '06, .360 '07, .380 '08); 15.1% BB rate   24.7   BAL   MLB   15 ↑
12   Jay Bruce   RF   Putting up solid MLB power numbers already (.174 IsoP), but 26.5% K and 5.6 BB% are ugly   21.4   CIN   MLB   9 ↓
13   Joba Chamberlain   RHP   Yes, he's dominant (28.1% K). No, he hasn't proven to be durable (89.0 IP before injury).   22.9   NYY   MLB   18 ↑
14   Clayton Kershaw   LHP   MLB peripherals are just fine: 11.2% BB, 20.4% K, 51% GB; just needs to log more experience 20.4   LAD   MLB   14 ↔
15   Cole Hamels   LHP   Unlike Billingsley, his K% has dropped every year since '06 (26.0% in 06, 23.8%, 21.6% in '07) 24.6   PHI   MLB   12 ↓
Honorables: Matt Wieters (BAL), B.J. Upton (TB), Yovani Gallardo (MIL), Matt Kemp (LAD), Clay Buchholz (BOS), David Price (TB), and Matt Cain (SF).
Graduated (final ranking): Edinson Volquez (10).                
Dropped out of Top 15 (previous ranking): B.J. Upton (13).                
* Our rankings combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favor recent production                
** Ages are as of August 29, 2008                
*** Level is the highest level the player has reached                
                             
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Adam Loberstein can be reached at aloberstein@projectprospect.com. Adam Foster can be reached at adamf@projectprospect.com.