Top 25 prospect list

April 30, 2009
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Rk   Player   Pos   Comments   Age   Org   Lvl   Pre
1   Matt Wieters   C   He's actually off to a relatively wimpy start (16.4% BB, 27.3% K, .111 IsoP, .346 wOBA, 55 PA)   23.0   BAL   AAA   1 ↔
2   David Price   LHP   We now have a 210 TBF sample on him from MLB/AAA (23.3% K, 10.0% BB); 11.1% BB in AAA   23.7   TB   MLB   2 ↔
3   Colby Rasmus   CF   Another month like they've had so far and Fowler will jump Rasmus; .314 MLB wOBA, .051 IsoP   22.7   STL   MLB   4 ↑
4   Dexter Fowler   CF   Above-average runner with some power + Coors Field = Fantasy Gold; plus defense in CF too?   23.1   COL   MLB   5 ↑
5   Buster Posey   C   Wow! .464 wOBA through 94 PA; Line-drive hitter with enough bat speed to generate power, too   22.1   SF   A+   24 ↑
6   Travis Snider   LF   .333 wOBA may not show it, but Snider's off to a sweet start (66 PA) -- BB and K% improvement   21.3   TOR   MLB   8 ↑
7   Madison Bumgarner LHP   Throws a mid-90s FB that he can locate from a 3/4 arm slot; K% drop from A to A+ is a concern   19.8   SF   A+   6 ↓
8   Brett Anderson   LHP   Command and GB% have translated to bigs -- great signs -- K% has not; 88-92 FB, solid changeup   21.3   OAK   MLB   7 ↓
9   Jason Heyward   RF   Picking up where he left off (.360 wOBA); with more power (+.068 IsoP) and more Ks (+3.9% K)   19.7   ATL   A+   9 ↔
10   Tommy Hanson   RHP   33.7% K, 8.1% BB 34% GB in AAA (86 TBF); May be next elite pitching prospect called up to bigs   22.7   ATL   AAA   13 ↑
11   Matt LaPorta   LF/RF   Bummed about Wieters being held captive in AAA to delay arb? How 'bout LaPorta? .474 wOBA   24.3   CLE   AAA   14 ↑
12   Justin Smoak   1B   Off to a great start through 87 AA PA (16.1% BB, 11.5% K, .183 IsoP); probably > Jason Castro   22.4   TEX   AA   16 ↑
13   Rick Porcello   RHP   Similar MLB success as Anderson -- 6.5% BB, 12.9% K, 56% GB (93 TBF); awesome 2-seam FB   20.4   DET   MLB   17 ↑
14   Jarrod Parker   RHP   Mid-90s FB + good changeup + knee-buckling breaking ball = potential stud; 29.2% K, 5.6% BB (A+) 20.4   ARI   AA   19 ↑
15   Mike Moustakas   3B   Holland and him passed up by eye-opening performers, not due to poor production (.354 wOBA)   20.6   KC   A+   11 ↓
16   Derek Holland   LHP   Owner of a mid-90s FB and plus slider; only has 40 TBF in '09; offers top-of-the-rotation potential   22.6   TEX   MLB   12 ↓
17   Jesus Montero   C/DH   Walk (7.5%) and strikeout (15.0%) rates similar to '08, power has taken off in the FSL (.230 IsoP)   19.4   NYY   A+   37 ↑
18   Mike Stanton   RF   Same problem (26.8 K%); BB rate (12.2%) has improved while some power remains (.211 IsoP)   19.5   FLA   A+   21 ↑
19   Pedro Alvarez   3B   We see 24.2% K through 91 PA and we think UT-OH! 16.5% BB is promising; still tiny samples here   22.2   PIT   A+   10 ↓
20   Trevor Cahill   RHP   Having trouble adjusting in majors: 16.0% BB, 7.4% K, 50% GB (94 TBF); 16.3% K in MLB/AA (245)   21.2   OAK   MLB   20 ↔
21   Jordan Schafer   CF   Holding own in majors with 19.5% BB, .166 IsoP; 29.0% K and .390 BABIP could lead to slump   22.7   ATL   MLB   25 ↑
22   Mat Gamel   3B   Elbow injury may have caused poor '08 2nd half; on fire to begin '09: .395 isoP, .501 wOBA   23.8   MIL   AAA   53 ↑
23   Carlos Santana   C   .214 BABIP holding Santana back from monstrous numbers in AA: .328 IsoP, 18.9 BB%, 14.9 K%   23.1   CLE   AA   26 ↑
24   Jordan Zimmermann   RHP   Started MLB career with a bang: 6.5 BB%, 17.4 K%; hard thrower needs to develop his curve   23.0   WAS   MLB   39 ↑
25   Lars Anderson   1B   Where is his '08 power? .200 IsoP between Lancaster and Portland last season, .157 so far in '09   21.6   BOS   AA   18 ↓
Honorable Mentions: Brian Matusz (LHP), Yonder Alonso (1B), Chris Tillman (RHP), Andrew McCutchen (CF), Neftali Feliz (RHP).                
Dropped out: Neftali Feliz (15), Eric Hosmer (22), and Brian Matusz (23).                
Graduated: Cameron Maybin (3).                  
* Ages are as of May 1st, 2009.                    
** Lvl is the highest level the player has reached.                
*** Our rankings combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favor recent production.                
                             
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Questions about our rankings can be directed toward adamf@projectprospect.com.