Top 25 Non-Top 100 Prospects

July 11, 2009

At the mid-season point, we take a look at the top 25 prospects who did not appear on any major top 100 list in the off-season. Players who graduated to the major leagues, as well as players who were on Project Prospect's mid-seaon top 50 prospect list are also ineligible to make this list.

This list combines a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favors recent production. 

Check back in a month for an updated Top 25 Non-Top 100 Prospect List.
Rk   Player   Pos   Comments   BB%   K%   Age   Org   Lvl   Pre
1   Jaff Decker   LF   Exciting combo of power (.224 isoP) and patience (22.2 BB%) in Midwest League   21.9   18.4   19.4   SD   A   3 ↑
2   Derek Norris   C   Having a monsterous July, has great power and discipline combo similar to Dacker   16.5   21.8   20.4   WAS   A   14 ↑
3   Casey Kelly   SS   May be done as a pitcher this year but has shown plenty of potential in Low/High-A 4.5   20.5   19.8   BOS   A+   31 ↑
4   Lonnie Chisenhall   3B   First full-season in the minors has been a breeze: .215 isoP, 9.7 BB% in High-A   8.7   15.1   20.8   CLE   A+   1 ↓
5   Daniel Hudson   RHP   Already has been dominant at three levels this year (A, A+, AA), 30.1K% combined 6.9   30.6   22.3   CHW   AA   NR↑
6   Jason Knapp   RHP   Teen is an elite strikeout artist (31.6 K% in '09), command still needs improvement   10.2   31.4   18.9   PHI   A   15 ↑
7   Matt Moore   LHP   Command has been a big issue in the past, but he's been as good as anyone lately   12.9   34.0   20.1   TB   A   NR ↑
8   Logan Forsythe   3B   Too good for A+ (.442 wOBA), lack of power in AA (.075 isoP) is a concern though 18.7   16.7   22.5   SD   AA   16 ↑
9   Sean O'Sullivan   RHP   Solid in AAA, held his own in 4 MLB starts (15.1 K%, 6.1 BB%, 4.73 FIP), still 21   5.8   17.4   21.9   LAA   MLB   NR ↑
10   David Hernandez   RHP   Hasn't matched AAA dominance (34.1 K%) in MLB (11.8 K%), 93.3 MPH fastball   9.8   26.3   24.2   BAL   MLB   11 ↑
11   Blake Beavan   RHP   Won't K a ton by any means (15.5% between A+/AA), holding own in AA (3.16 FIP) 4.5   15.3   20.5   TEX   AA   24 ↑
12   Wily Peralta   RHP   Has been unhittable in Low-A (30.5 K%, 7.8 BB%), should see a promotion soon   8.7   25.6   20.1   MIL   A   NR ↑
13   Manny Banuelos   LHP   18-year-old lefty has been masterful (22.1 K%, 5.0 BB%), should fill out body more   5.9   21.6   18.3   NYY   A   23 ↑
14   Thomas Neal   LF   Unlikely breakout candidate has been one of the best A+ hitters in '09, great power   8.8   19.9   21.9   SFG   A+   NR ↑
15   Mark Rzepcynski   LHP   Lefty ground ball pitcher skipped A+, dominant in AAA, now in the major leagues   9.3   26.1   23.9   TOR   AAA   NR ↑
16   Trevor Reckling   LHP   Walk spike in AA is a concern, but he's one of the youngest pitchers at the level   9.3   21.9   20.1   LAA   AA   5 ↓
17   Everth Cabrera   SS   Speedster hard to get a read on due to lack of upper minors data, doing solid in MLB 11.7   17.5   22.7   SD   MLB   NR ↑
18   Daniel Descalso   2B   Solid all-around hitter must prove AA power is for real before he gets a look in bigs   8.3   11.9   22.7   STL   AAA   NR ↑
19   Mike Carp   1B/LF   PCL is aiding power (.210 isoP) but 15.5 BB% is outstanding.  Sept. call up is likely   11.0   19.3   23.0   SEA   MLB   8 ↓
20   Alexander Perez   RHP   Strikeout rate continues to climb monthly, 22.5 K% on the year with a 7.1 BB% too   7.4   23.0   20.0   CLE   A   NR ↑
21   Antonio Bastardo   LHP   Shoulder injuries continue to plague him, effective when healthy (18.6 MLB K%)   10.3   26.3   23.8   PHI   MLB   9 ↓
22   Evan Anundsen   RHP   From 16.4 K% in '08 (A), to 24.1% in '09 (A+), great command and gets grounders   6.2   18.3   21.2   MIL   A+   30 ↑
23   Chris Heisey   CF   One of 09's biggest suprises, destroyed AA (.457 wOBA) and is continuing in AAA 9.0   12.9   24.6   CIN   AAA   NR ↑
24   Tyson Gillies   CF   He may be hearing impaired, but he's not hitting impaired: 13.2 BB%, .411 wOBA   11.4   14.5   20.7   SEA   A+   NR ↑
25   Chris Withrow   RHP   Finally healthy, mowing down A+ hitters (29.4 K%), command an issue (11.9 BB%)   12.7   28.5   20.3   LAD   A+   26 ↑
HMs: Dee Gordon (LAD), Matthew Sweeney (LAA), Michael Montgomery (KC), Scott Sizemore (DET),  Josh Donaldson (OAK), Nick Barnese (TB)    
Dropped out: Brandon Snyder (12), Lance Lynn (17), Lorenzo Cain (20), Michael Pineda (21), Reese Havens (22), Matthew Sweeney (25)        
Graduated: Kris Medlen (2), Nolan Reimold (4), Hector Rondon (6), Brad Lincoln (7), Vincent Mazzaro (10), Jordan Lyles (13), Chris Coghlan (18),    
* BB% and K% are career rates; Ages are as of July 7, 2009; Lvl is the highest level the player has reached; Our rankings factor in floor and ceiling    
<<< Discuss these rankings                            

    MLB Graduates    
  Chris Coghlan   Nolan Reimold  
    PP List Graduates    
  Brad Lincoln   Zach McAllister  
  Jordan Lyles   Jennry Mejia  
  Vincent Mazzaro   Hector Rondon  
  Kris Medlen   Jemile Weeks  
    2009 Top 100 Prospects    
Aaron Cunningham Chris Marrero Gio Gonzalez Josh Vitters Mike Stanton
Aaron Hicks Chris Nelson Gordon Beckham Julio Borbon Neftali Feliz
Aaron Poreda Chris Perez Gorkys Hernandez Junichi Tazawa Nick Adenhart
Adam Miller Chris Tillman Greg Halman Justin Smoak Nick Evans
Adis Portillo Christian Friedrich Ivan De Jesus Kasey Kiker Nick Hagadone
Adrian Cardenas Colby Rasmus J.P. Arencibia Kellen Kulbacki Nick Weglarz
Alcides Escobar Daniel Bard Jack McGeary Kila Ka'aihue Pedro Alvarez
Andrew Brackman Daniel Cortes Jake Arrieta Kyle Blanks Phillippe Aumont
Andrew Lambo Daniel Schlereth James McDonald Kyle Drabek Reid Brignac
Andrew McCutchen Danny Duffy James Simmons Kyle Skipworth Rick Porcello
Angel Salome Daryl Jones Jarrod Parker Lars Anderson Ross Detwiler
Angel Villalona David Cooper Jason Castro Logan Morrison Scott Elbert
Austin Jackson David Huff Jason Donald Lou Marson Sean West
Ben Revere David Price Jason Heyward Madison Bumgarner Shairon Martis
Brad Holt Dayan Viciedo Jay Jackson Martin Perez Taylor Teagarden
Brandon Allen Dellin Betances Jeff Locke Mat Gamel Tim Alderson
Brandon Erbe Derek Holland Jeff Samardzija Mat Latos Tim Beckham
Brett Anderson Desmond Jennings Jeff Samardzija Matt Antonelli Todd Frazier
Brett Cecil Dexter Fowler Jefry Marte Matt Dominguez Tommy Hanson
Brett Lawrie Dominic Brown Jeremy Hellickson Matt Laporta Travis Snider
Brett Wallace Drew Stubbs Jeremy Jeffress Matt Wieters Trevor Cahill
Brian Matusz Elvis Andrus Jesus Montero Max Ramirez Tyler Flowers
Buster Posey Engel Beltre Jhoulys Chacin Michael Bowden Wade Davis
Cameron Maybin Eric Hosmer Jon Niese Michael Burgess Wilin Rosario
Carlos Carrasco Eric Young Jr. Jordan Schafer Michael Inoa Wilmer Flores
Carlos Gutierrez Ethan Martin Jordan Walden Michael Main Wilson Ramos
Carlos Santana Fernando Martinez Jordan Zimmerman Michael Saunders Yonder Alonso
Carlos Triunfel Freddie Freeman Jose Tabata Michael Taylor  
Chris Carter Gerado Parra Josh Reddick Mike Moustakas  


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