Top 25 Under 25

May 12, 2008

With 50.1 dominant innings under his belt this season, Tim Lincecum has busted down the door and broken into the Top 5. Nick Markakis, Brian McCann, and Zach Grienkie's hot starts mean they'll keep moving up, while Colby Rasmus, Billy Butler, and Ryan Zimmerman continue to fall. Edinson Volquez makes his debut, tabbing the No. 23 spot on this list.

 

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No.   Player   Pos.   Comments   Age   Org   Lvl   Pre.
1   Prince Fielder   1B   Hard times (Apr: .250/.366/.455 in 114 PA) getting worse (May: .243/.293/.351 in 41 PA)   24.0   MIL   MLB   1 ↔
2   Hanley Ramirez   SS   Patience is a virtue: BB rate up to 12.9% after going 8.0%, 7.8% in 1st two MLB seasons   24.3   FLA   MLB   2 ↔
3   Felix Hernandez   RHP   In his last two starts, The King has allowed 24 runners to reach base in 10.2 innings   22.0   SEA   MLB   3 ↔
4   Jose Reyes   SS   Heating up after slow start: .240/.300/.410 line in Apr. up to .286/.381/.486 in May   24.8   NYM   MLB   4 ↔
5   Tim Lincecum   RHP   Young ace gives Giants fans something worth rooting for; has only walked 4 in last 21 IP   23.7   SF   MLB   7 ↑
6   Justin Upton   RF   His .326/.395/.530 start isn't hurting his already soaring stock; 11.2% BB rate is impressive   20.6   ARI   MLB   6 ↔
7   Ryan Braun   LF   After .324/.370/.634 rookie year, .281/.311/.503 isn't too impressive; did hit 2 HR on Sunday   24.4   MIL   MLB   5 ↓
8   Cole Hamels   LHP   K rate down 1.7%, BB rate up 1.7%; off to a very good start regardless (3.36 FIP)   24.3   PHI   MLB   8 ↔
9   Scott Kazmir   LHP   Take two: After allowing 3 ER in 4 IP in season debut, threw 6 shutout innings on Saturday   23.7   TB   MLB   12 ↑
10   Jay Bruce   CF   Minor's best hitting prospect is meeting expectactions: .328/.359/.565; 12-for-22 last week   21.0   CIN   AAA   10 ↔
11   Yovani Gallardo   RHP   Will miss remainder of 2008 season with a torn right ACL; surgery scheduled for Tuesday   22.1   MIL   MLB   9 ↓
12   B.J. Upton   CF   Ability to reach base same as '07, but big drop in power: .208 IsoP in '07 vs. .133 in '08   23.6   TB   MLB   11 ↓
13   Evan Longoria   3B   Heating up after slow start: .240/.300/.410 line in Apr. up to .286/.381/.486 in May   22.4   TB   MLB   13 ↔
14   Clay Buchholz   RHP   He's pitched like an ace so far this season: 23.4% K rate, 9.0% BB, 3.19 FIP through 38.0 IP   23.7   BOS   MLB   15 ↑
15   Brian McCann   C   His .377 OBP, .561 SLG looks like his '06 showing (.379/.572), not '07 version (.319/.452)   24.1   ATL   MLB   21 ↑
16   Nick Markakis   RF   Walk this way: Markakis has doubled his BB rate this season (9.2% in '07 vs. 18.6% in '08)   24.4   BAL   MLB   23 ↑
17   Zack Greinke   RHP   After posting 13.3% K rate in Apr. (36 IP), Greinke has shot up to 32.7% in May; solid No. 2   24.5   KC   MLB   24 ↑
18   Alex Gordon   3B   Starting to look more like the Gordon we expected in '07; off to decent .282/.346/.444 start   24.2   KC   MLB   18 ↔
19   Colby Rasmus   CF   Struggles continue: .205/.290/.349 with 9 XBH (3 2B, 6 HR); has a 12.8% BB rate, though   21.7   STL   AAA   14 ↓
20   Clayton Kershaw   LHP   27.1% K rate, 8.3% BB rate, 2.00 FIP; to limit his innings, he came out of the pen on May 7th   20.1   LAD   AA   19 ↓
21   Joba Chamberlain   RHP   More walks (6.6% in '07 vs. 8.3% in '08), less K's (37.4% vs. 28.3%); still not starting   22.6   NYY   MLB   20 ↓
22   Chris Young   CF   What a difference a year makes: same power numbers, but BB rate up from 7.0% to 12.6%   24.6   ARI   MLB   22 ↔
23   Edinson Volquez   RHP   His 13.8% BB rate isn't great, but just everything else is -- 29.9% K, 60% GB, 2.56 FIP   24.8   CIN   MLB   NR ↑
24   Billy Butler   DH   Kansas City power outage: Butler's .155 IsoP in '07 down to .082 in '08; BB% up to 9.5%   22.0   KC   MLB   16 ↓
25   Matt Wieters   C   Too good for A-ball: .355/.435/.618 (14.8% BB, 15.6% K) after 135 PA; 3 HR last weekend   21.9   BAL   A+   27 ↑
Honorables: Matt Kemp (LAD), Chad Billingsley (LAD), Jeremy Hermida (FLA), Delmon Young (MIN), Matt LaPorta (MIL), and Johnny Cueto (CIN).    
Graduated (final ranking): None.                
Dropped out of Top 25 (previous ranking): Ryan Zimmerman (17) and Matt Cain (25).                
* Our rankings combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favor recent production                
*** Ages are as of May 12th, 2008                
**** Level is the highest level the player has reached                
                             
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Adam Loberstein can be reached at aloberstein@projectprospect.com. Adam Foster can be reached at adamf@projectprospect.com.