Top 15 First Base Prospects

November 16, 2008

All Positions: C / 1B / 2B / SS / 3B / CF / OF / P

It's a good year to be an up-and-coming first baseman. Four of our top eight first base prospects were 2008 first rounders -- including three of the top four. Lars Anderson tops this list, thanks to the way he took care of both the California and Eastern Leagues, with Justin Smoak burning not too far behind.

We'll continue the first basemen barrage next week with our Top 10 Under 25 and then Top 10 Under 30.

Top 15 First Base Prospects
No. Player Pos. Comments Age Org Lvl
1 Lars Anderson 1B All he did was follow .398 wOBA showing in Cal League with .415 wOBA in Eastern League 21.1 BOS AA
2 Justin Smoak 1B No. 11 overall pick had .372 wOBA (62 PA) in Low-A; .450 wOBA, 40% XBH in 48 AFL PA 21.9 TEX A
3 Eric Hosmer 1B No. 3 overall pick brings advanced approach to the plate for a high schooler; some power, too 19.0 KC R
4 Yonder Alonso 1B No. 7 overall pick sporting a .327/.436/.541 line (117 PA) in HWB; both power, patience 21.5 CIN A+
5 Kila Ka'aihue 1B/DH After posting .347 wOBA last year, Hawaiian sat above .450 this season; walks a ton 24.5 KC MLB
6 Logan Morrison 1B As if his .386 wOBA in the Florida State League hasn’t impressive, he's at .484 in the AFL 21.1 FLA A+
7 Freddie Freeman 1B From .294 wOBA, 9% LD in '07 to .386, 19% in '08; 2007 2nd rounder could break out in '09 18.8 ATL A
8 David Cooper 1B No. 17 overall pick had .333/399/.502 vital (303 PA) across three levels in professional debut 20.6 TOR A+
9 Chris Marrero 1B Missed most of the '08 season with broken right fibula; .337 wOBA, .205 IsoP in 287 PA 20.3 WAS A+
10 Nick Evans 1B/LF Improved .321 wOBA in '06 to .364 in '07, .390 in '08; MLB struggles: .295 wOBA (119 PA) 22.7 NYM MLB
11 Chris Carter 1B/3B/DH Had his way in the Cal League: .389 wOBA, 39 HR, 57% XBH; lots of strikeouts, too (26%) 21.8 OAK A+
12 Beau Mills 1B Had 58 XBH (544 PA), .507 SLG in A+; SLG has dropped to .386 (.313 wOBA) in 72 AFL PA 22.2 CLE A+
13 Kyle Blanks 1B 6-foot-6, 270-pounder's .396 wOBA last season up slightly from .393 in Cal League in '07 22.1 SD AA
14 Angel Villalona 1B Potential, yes; results, not so much: .264/.313/.436 in Low-A; no BB (3.6%), high K's (23.5%) 18.2 SF A
15 Chris Parmelee 1B/RF Little contact (.239 AVG, 28.7% K), lot of walks (18%) and power .257 IsoP; .378 wOBA 20.6 MIN A
Honorables: Brandon Allen (CHW), Allan Dykstra (SD), Sean Doolittle (OAK), Travis Ishikawa (SF), and Gaby Sanchez (FLA).
* Our rankings combine a player's ceiling with the odds that he'll reach it and favor recent production
** Ages are as of November 1st, 2008
*** Level is the highest level the player has reached
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Questions about this list can be directed toward Adam Foster at .