2011 Top 100 Prospect List

by Project Prospect
February 7, 2011
Click here to check out our 2011 Digital Prospect Guide
Rk   Player   Pos   Age   Org   Lvl Ceiling   Floor   Risk
1   Bryce Harper   RF   18.6   WAS   n/a A   C   High
2   Mike Trout   CF   19.7   LAA   A+ A-   B-   Moderate
3   Jesus Montero   DH/C   21.4   NYY   AAA A-   C+/C   Moderate
4   Dustin Ackley   2B   23.2   SEA   AAA B   C+/C   Low
5   Eric Hosmer   1B   21.4   KC   AA B+   C+/C   Moderate
6   Wil Myers   RF   20.4   KC   A+ B+   C+/C   Moderate
7   Brandon Belt   1B   23.0   SF   AAA B+   C+/C   Moderate
8   Domonic Brown   RF   23.7   PHI   MLB B+   C-   Moderate
9   Shelby Miller   RHP   20.6   STL   A A-   C+/C   Moderate
10   Wilin Rosario   C   22.2   COL   AA B+   D   High
11   Jarrod Parker   RHP   22.4   ARI   AA A-   D   Very high
12   Freddie Freeman   1B   21.6   ATL   MLB B   C+/C   Low
13   Jameson Taillon   RHP   19.5   PIT   n/a A-   D   Very high
14   Matt Moore   LHP   21.9   TB   A+ B+   C-   Moderate
15   Yonder Alonso   1B   24.1   CIN   MLB B-   C+/C   Very low
16   Mike Moustakas   3B   22.7   KC   AAA B   C-   Moderate
17   Desmond Jennings   CF   24.5   TB   MLB B-   C-   Low
18   Zach Britton   LHP   23.4   BAL   AAA B+   D   High
19   Jeremy Hellickson   RHP   24.1   TB   MLB B+   D   High
20   John Lamb   LHP   20.8   KC   AA B+   C-   Moderate
21   Randall Delgado   RHP   21.2   ATL   AA B   C-   Moderate
22   Julio Teheran   RHP   20.3   ATL   AA B+   D   High
23   Aroldis Chapman   LHP   23.2   CIN   MLB A-   D+   High
24   Devin Mesoraco   C   22.9   CIN   AAA B   D+   Moderate
25   Lonnie Chisenhall   3B   22.6   CLE   AA B-   C-   Low
26   Jaff Decker   LF   21.2   SD   A+ B-   C-   Low
27   Manny Machado   SS   18.8   BAL   SS B+   D+   High
28   Jason Kipnis   2B   24.1   CLE   AA B-   C-   Low
29   Jose Iglesias   SS   21.3   BOS   AA B-   C-   Low
30   Mike Minor   LHP   23.4   ATL   MLB B-   D+   Moderate
31   Martin Perez   LHP   20.1   TEX   AA B+   D   High
32   Nick Castellanos   3B   19.2   DET   R B   D+   Moderate
33   Nick Weglarz   LF   23.4   CLE   AAA B-   C-   Low
34   Manny Banuelos   LHP   20.2   NYY   AA B   D   High
35   Kyle Drabek   RHP   23.4   TOR   MLB B   D   High
36   Casey Kelly   RHP   21.6   SD   AA B-   D+   Moderate
37   Jonathan Singleton   1B   19.6   PHI   A B   D+   Moderate
38   Anthony Rizzo   1B   21.7   SD   AA B   D+   Moderate
39   Jordan Lyles   RHP   20.5   HOU   AAA B-   D+   Moderate
40   Simon Castro   RHP   23.1   SD   AAA B   D   High
41   Travis d'Arnaud   C   22.2   TOR   A+ B-   C-   Low
42   Reese Havens   2B   24.5   NYM   AA B   D+   Moderate
43   Aaron Hicks   CF   21.6   MIN   A B   D   High
44   Nick Franklin   2B   20.2   SEA   AA B-   D+   Moderate
45   Zack Wheeler   RHP   20.9   SF   A B+   D   High
46   Alex White   RHP   22.7   CLE   AA B-   D+   Moderate
47   Zach Lee   RHP   19.6   LAD   n/a B+   D-   Very high
48   Matt Harvey   RHP   22.1   NYM   n/a B-   D+   Moderate
49   Tony Sanchez   C   23.0   PIT   A+ C+/C   C-   Very low
50   Derek Norris   C   22.2   WAS   A+ B-   D+   Moderate
51   Jurickson Profar   SS   18.2   TEX   SS B-   D+   Moderate
52   Adeiny Hechevarria   SS   22.1   TOR   AA B   D   High
53   Fernando Martinez   RF   22.6   NYM   MLB B-   D   Moderate
54   Mike Montgomery   LHP   21.8   KC   AA B-   D   Moderate
55   Jacob Turner   RHP   20.0   DET   A+ B   D   High
56   Michael Pineda   RHP   22.3   SEA   AAA B+   D-   Very high
57   Brent Morel   3B   24.0   CHW   MLB C+/C   D+   Low
58   Yasmani Grandal   C   22.5   CIN   R B-   D+   Moderate
59   Brett Jackson   CF   22.8   CHC   AA C+/C   C-   Very low
60   Bobby Borchering   3B   20.5   ARI   A B   D   High
61   Kyle Gibson   RHP   23.5   MIN   AAA B   D-   High
62   James Darnell   3B   24.3   SD   AA C+/C   C-   Very low
63   Drew Cumberland   SS   22.3   SD   AA B-   D+   Moderate
64   Tyler Matzek   LHP   20.5   COL   A B+   D-   Very high
65   Alexi Amarista   2B   22.1   LAA   AAA C+/C   D+   Low
66   Jean Segura   2B   21.1   LAA   A B-   D   Moderate
67   Matt Dominguez   3B   21.7   FLA   AA C+/C   D+   Low
68   Tanner Scheppers   RHP   24.3   TEX   AAA B-   D   Moderate
69   Josh Sale   OF   19.8   TB   n/a B   D   High
70   Tyler Skaggs   LHP   19.8   ARI   A B-   D+   Moderate
71   Jake Odorizzi   RHP   21.1   KC   A B-   D+   Moderate
72   Anthony Ranaudo   RHP   21.7   BOS   n/a B-   D   Moderate
73   Gary Sanchez   C   18.4   NYY   SS B   D   High
74   Hank Conger   C   23.3   MLB   AAA C+/C   D+   Low
75   Chris Sale   LHP   22.2   CHW   MLB B   D-   High
76   Danny Espinosa   SS   24.0   WAS   MLB C+/C   D+   Low
77   Dayan Viciedo   1B   22.2   CHW   MLB B-   D   Moderate
78   Christian Colon   SS   22.0   KC   A+ C+/C   D+   Low
79   Josh Spence   LHP   23.3   SD   n/a C+/C   D+   Low
80   Craig Kimbrel   RHP   22.9   ATL   MLB C+/C   D   Moderate
81   Adrian Salcedo   RHP   20.0   MIN   A+ B   D-   High
82   Hector Gomez   SS   20.5   COL   AA B-   D-   High
83   Jenrry Mejia   RHP   21.6   NYM   MLB C+/C   D   Moderate
84   Hak-Ju Lee   SS   21.1   TB   A C+/C   D   Moderate
85   Austin Romine   C   22.5   NYY   AA C+/C   D+   Low
86   Chris Carter   1B   24.4   OAK   MLB C+/C   D   Moderate
87   Sammy Solis   LHP   22.7   WAS   A B-   D-   High
88   Blake Tekotte   CF   24.0   SD   AA C+/C   D+   Low
89   Tyler Pastornicky   SS   21.4   ATL   AA C+/C   D+   Low
90   Johnny Giavotella   2B   23.2   KC   AA C+/C   D   Moderate
91   Tyler Chatwood   RHP   21.4   LAA   AAA B-   D   Moderate
92   Steve Lombardozzi   2B   22.6   WAS   AA C+/C   D+   Low
93   Charlie Blackmon   CF   24.9   COL   AA C-   D+   Very low
94   Brad Emaus   3B   25.1   NYM   AAA C-   D+   Very low
95   Yamaico Navarro   3B   23.5   BOS   MLB C-   D+   Very low
96   David Adams   2B   24.0   NYY   AA C-   D+   Very low
97   Anthony Gose   CF   20.7   TOR   A+ C+/C   D+   Low
98   Miguel Sano   3B   18.0   MIN   R B-   D-   High
99   Drew Pomeranz   LHP   22.5   CLE   n/a C+/C   D-   Moderate
100   Wilmer Flores   SS   19.8   NYM   A+ C+/C   D+   Moderate
* Ages are as of 2/7/11                          
** Lvl is the highest the player has reached                  
*** We put a lot of value into floor as well as ceiling          
We held a top 100 chat the evening of January 7, 2011
Outcome Grade Value
Hall-of-Fame A+ 10
Superstar A 9
Annual all-star A- 8
All-star B+ 7
Well-above-average regular B 6
Slightly-above-average regular B- 5
Average regular C+/C 4
Below-average regular C- 3
Bench player or reliever D+ 2
Bench player or reliever (short career) D 1
Minor league depth or injury ruins career D-/F 0

Editor's Note: We gave each player ceiling and floor grades to establish a range of expected outcomes. There will be people who put higher ceilings on many of these guys; we tend to be conservative with our projections. Our intent was to provide readers with insight to why we ranked players where we did. We'd rather project reasonable ceilings than tab a bunch of young guys with sky's-the-limit upside that they'll likely never live up to. And while we wish we could predict every player's ceiling, factors that influence what type of player a guy will ultimately become can change. A prospect can fill out and see a uptick in power or velocity. Or he can get hurt or lose interest in playing the game.

Detailed reasoning on expected outcomes for every player in our top 100 can be found in our Digital Prospect Guide. Questions about this list can be directed toward @AdamWFoster