Top 10 High-A Pitching Prospects by Production

November 1, 2011
. . . . . .Rookie / Short-Season / Low-A / High-A / Double-A / Triple-A / Hitters
@AdamWFoster's 2011 Offseason Prospect Rankings
Rk   Player   Pos   Comments   Age   Org
1   Robert Erlin   LHP   Only walked 5 in 54.2 IP; K% went from 31% in A+ to 24% in AA   20.9   SD
2   Shelby Miller   RHP   Had 7+ Ks in all but one A+ start; big jump in GB% from A+ to AA   20.7   STL
3   Tyler Skaggs   LHP   Spectacular K%, especially given his age; he kept it up in AA, too   20.0   ARI
4   David Holmberg   LHP   Youngest SP in A+; BB% rose a lot from Low-A; K'd a good amount 20.0   ARI
5   Drew Hutchison   RHP   Owned Low-A, owned High-A, then was dominant in 3 AA starts   20.9   TOR
6   Joseph Wieland   RHP   Acquired, along with Erlin, for Mike Adams; very good command   21.4   SD
7   Aaron Kurcz   RHP   Moved from SP to RP in late June & flourished; a fly-ball pitcher   20.9   CHC
8   Joseph Ortiz   LHP   RP who gets a lot of grounders and has very good command   20.9   TEX
9   Giovanni Soto   LHP   Another SP who was converted to an RP mid-season (June)   20.1   CLE
10   Jairo Heredia   RHP   Hard to find any details on his '11 injury; out from June 28 on   21.9   NYY
Best of the Rest
    Chad James   LHP   Showed big improvement in BB% from '10 (12.7%) to '11 (7.8%)   20.4   FLA
    Matt Lollis   RHP   Taken out of the rotation in early-July; returned to it in late-Aug. 20.8   SD
    Brody Colvin   RHP   Missed a month after injuring his back in his 1st start; low K%   20.9   PHI
    Clayton Cook   RHP   Had some stretches with lots of BB; others will good command   20.9   CLE
    Jonathan Pettibone   RHP   Went 6+ innings in 20 of his 27 starts; low BB%; finshed strong   21.0   PHI
    Nicholas Bucci   RHP   K% droppped steadily from Apr to Jul before jumping up in Aug   21.0   MIL
    Jake Odorizzi   RHP   2008 draft pick was K machine in A+ before slowing down in AA   21.3   KC
    Allen Webster   RHP   Mike Newman just published report on him with scouting video   21.4   LAD
    Jake Buchanan   RHP   Studly GB rate (58%) to go along with very low BB and low K%   21.8   HOU
    Trevor May   RHP   Showed signs of command improvement & missed tons of bats   21.8   PHI
* Ages are as of July 1, 2011            
** Minimum 50 innings pitched        
*** If eligible, Carlos Martinez would have ranked 8th on this list        

Warning: These rankings were created without utilizing scouting information. The list was assembled as a conversation starter/watch list by way of a relatively simple, objective prospect finding system. After weighing in scouting information, our rankings of players will change.

Methodology: Only players who were a deviation below level-average age were considered for the list above. The average High-A pitcher age in 2011 was approximately 23, with a standard deviation of approximately 2. Players were ranked based simply on deviations from level-average age, strikeout percentage, walk percentage and ground-ball percentage.