| @AdamWFoster's 2011 Offseason Prospect Rankings | ||||||||||
| Rk | Player | Pos | Comments | Age | Org | |||||
| 1 | Robert Erlin (eBay) |
LHP | K% went from 31% in A+ to 24% in AA; maintained elite walk rate | 20.9 | SD | |||||
| 2 | Shelby Miller (eBay) |
RHP | Big jump in GB% from A+ to AA (35% to 42%); Ks dropped by 12% | 20.7 | STL | |||||
| 3 | Matt Moore (eBay) |
LHP | AA success translated to AAA; could surface as a No. 1-2 in 2012 | 22.0 | TB | |||||
| 4 | Tyler Skaggs (eBay) |
LHP | Dropped BB% from 8.2% (A+) to 6.6% (AA); his GB% in A+ >> AA | 20.0 | ARI | |||||
| 5 | Martin Perez (eBay) |
LHP | Made progress in AA from '10 to '11; carried some success to AAA | 20.2 | TEX | |||||
| 6 | Erasmo Ramirez (eBay) |
RHP | Youngster w/ thick build; doesn't get lots of Ks; solid all around | 21.2 | SEA | |||||
| 7 | Jeurys Familia (eBay) |
RHP | Breakout season; also would have ranked 7th on A+ list if eligible | 21.7 | NYM | |||||
| 8 | Nathan Eovaldi (eBay) |
RHP | Inconsistent AA performer finished year in MLB & pitched OK | 21.4 | LAD | |||||
| 9 | Randall Delgado (eBay) |
RHP | Walk rate fluctuated a lot; will nibble but has stuff to be a No. 2-3 | 21.4 | ATL | |||||
| 10 | Jacob Turner (eBay) |
RHP | Ks steadily dropped in AA; great in AAA (17.1 IP) & reached bigs | 20.1 | DET | |||||
| Best of the Rest | ||||||||||
| Manny Banuelos (eBay) |
LHP | Only being held back by his command; has top-of-rotation upside | 20.3 | NYY | ||||||
| Juan Oramas (eBay) |
LHP | Fly-ball pitcher who had a studly 2nd half; 26% K in July-Sept. | 21.1 | SD | ||||||
| Henderson Alvarez (eBay) |
RHP | Very good GB pitcher who doesn't walk many & has power stuff | 21.2 | TOR | ||||||
| Allen Webster (eBay) |
RHP | K% dropped by 9.3% from A+ to AA; GB% went up (49% vs. 53%) | 21.4 | LAD | ||||||
| Joseph Wieland (eBay) |
RHP | BB% rose after only issuing 4 BB in 85.2 A+ IP; was strong in AA | 21.4 | SD | ||||||
| Casey Kelly (eBay) |
RHP | Outstanding GB rate 2nd time around in AA; K% dropped, though | 21.7 | SD | ||||||
| Trey McNutt (eBay) |
RHP | Throws hard and has a good breaking ball; not a lot of Ks in AA | 21.9 | CHC | ||||||
| Dallas Beeler (eBay) |
RHP | Elite GB pitcher who missed time w/ shoulder & oblique injuries | 22.1 | CHC | ||||||
| Matt Harvey (eBay) |
RHP | Got lots of GB in A+ & AA while racking up Ks & not too many BB | 22.3 | NYM | ||||||
| Brad Peacock (eBay) |
RHP | Big K% drop from AA to AAA isn't a good sign for a pitcher his age | 23.4 | WAS | ||||||
| * Ages are as of July 1, 2011 | ||||||||||
| ** Minimum 50 innings pitched | ||||||||||
| *** If eligible, James Paxton would have ranked 7th on this list | ||||||||||
Warning: These rankings were created without utilizing scouting information. The list was assembled as a conversation starter/watch list by way of a relatively simple, objective prospect finding system. After weighing in scouting information, our rankings of players will change.
Methodology: Only players who were a deviation below level-average age were considered for the list above. The average High-A pitcher age in 2011 was approximately 25, with a standard deviation of approximately 2. Players were ranked based simply on deviations from level-average age, strikeout percentage, walk percentage and ground-ball percentage.