Top 10 Triple-A Pitching Prospects by Production

December 5, 2011
. . . . . .Rookie / Short-Season / Low-A / High-A / Double-A / Triple-A / Hitters
@AdamWFoster's 2011 Offseason Prospect Rankings
Rk   Player   Pos   Comments   Age   Org
1   Matt Moore   LHP   He's made huge strides w/ commanding his swing-and-miss stuff   22.0   TB
2   Jordan Lyles   RHP   Put up nearly identical K/BB rate in MLB as AAA; HR% increased   20.7   HOU
3   Alex Cobb   RHP   Outstanding GB pitcher who misses some bats and throws strikes   23.7   TB
4   Julio Teheran   RHP   4th-youngest AAA pitcher was solid across the board over 144 IP   20.4   ATL
5   Neil Ramirez   RHP   Shoulder injury cut season short but he returned to action in AFL   22.1   TEX
6   Blake Beavan   RHP   Big frame and outstanding command; doesn't miss a lot of bats   22.5   SEA
7   Tom Milone   LHP   Back-to-back 150+ IP seasons with less than 25 BB; gets Ks, too   24.4   WAS
8   Nicholas Struck   RHP   On this list because of his age; not a big strikeout or GB pitcher   21.7   CHC
9   Vance Worley   RHP   Continues to puts up numbers w/ a funky, over-the-top delivery   23.8   PHI
10   Wade Miley   LHP   Quality performance in an AAA hitter's park; slowed in the bigs   24.6   ARI
Best of the Rest
    Michael Montgomery LHP   Topped 150 IP for 1st time; made BB% strides as year progressed   22.0   KC
    Matt Hoffman   LHP   RP who kept the ball on the ground and showed solid command   22.6   DET
    Mike Minor   LHP   Big command improvement from '10, but Ks also dropped a lot   23.5   ATL
    Adam Wilk   LHP   Rarely walks batters but hasn't gotten many Ks in upper minors   23.6   DET
    Zach McAllister   RHP   Big-bodied command SP finished season w/ decent MLB showing   23.6   CLE
    Kyle Gibson   RHP   Was scheduled to have Tommy John surgery in September   23.7   MIN
    Scott Barnes   LHP   Torn ACL in July ended a solid AAA debut for solid minor leaguer   23.8   CLE
    Sean O'Sullivan   RHP   Not a strikeout pitcher, not a GB pitcher, command isn't elite   23.8   KC
    Christopher Rusin   CHC   Good BB% and GB% from olderish SP who doesn't K many batters   24.7   LHP
    Michael Bowden   RHP   Convertion to the bullpen = huge spike in K% in 4th AAA season   24.8   BOS
* Ages are as of July 1, 2011            
** Minimum 50 innings pitched        

Warning: These rankings were created without utilizing scouting information. The list was assembled as a conversation starter/watch list by way of a relatively simple, objective prospect finding system. After weighing in scouting information, our rankings of players will change.

Methodology: Only players who were a deviation below level-average age were considered for the list above. The average Triple-A pitcher age in 2011 was approximately 27, with a standard deviation of approximately 3. Players were ranked based simply on deviations from level-average age, strikeout percentage, walk percentage and ground-ball percentage.